MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, March 18, 2016 6:39 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 18, 2016 6:39 PM UTC

The 2016 MLB season begins in two weeks and the LT Profits Group are profiling all 30 teams to help with your MLB picks before opening day. Next up are the New York Yankees.

We are two weeks from the start of the 2016 MLB season, as it begins with three games Sunday, April 3rd, while the rest of the league starts play Monday, April 4th. In an attempt to assist with your MLB picks, we are here profiling all 30 Major League Baseball teams before opening day, and we continue our profiles now by examining the New York Yankees, who finished second in the American League East in 2015 at 87-75 before losing the Wild Card Playoff to Houston.

To kick things off, here is a summary of the New York betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle.


New York Yankees 2015 Betting Stats

   Home  Away  Overall
Record  45-36  42-39  87-75
Units Won/Lost    -6.71  +3.32  -3.39
Over/Under  38-39-4    39-42    77-81-4  


After a disappointing 2014, the Yankees returned to the playoffs last season albeit as a wild card in what was really one of the best jobs that Joe Girardi has done as the Yankee manager, as the team had to overcome more than a few makeshift lineups necessitated by a rash of injuries. However, when the Yankees were at full strength, they were a team that hit for a lot of power.

Now we will take a look at the Yankees’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.


2015 New York Yankees Team Statistics

   Total    Rank 
Batting Average    .251  17th
Runs per Game  4.72  2nd
Home Runs  212  4th
OPS  .744  5th
ERA  4.05  17th
WHIP  1.30  14th
Bullpen ERA  3.70  16th


It may not have been a resurrection of Murderers’ Row, but the Yankees overcame a mediocre team batting average by becoming the Bronx Bombers once again, taking advantage of a hitter’s park in Yankee Stadium to blast 212 home runs to rank fourth in the majors, as well as ranking fifth in team OPS. The starting pitching was disappointing, although the bullpens had one of the best 1-2 punches in the league on the back end in Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller.

Up next, here are various New York Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.


2016 New York Yankees World Series Futures

5Dimes  +2150  
Bovada  +2500  
BetOnline    +1800  
Heritage  +2100  


Some experts are down on the Yankees’ chances this season, but we are actually of the belief that they may be underrated as they made a couple of nice moves this off-season to make them a bit better than the team that won 87 games while beset by injuries last year. And it is not often at all that you will find “Yankees” and “underrated” in the same sentence.


2016 New York Yankees Batting Forecast
The Yankees may not have that one superstar in their lineup anymore, but what they do have is one of the deepest lineups in baseball with eight of the projected nines starters all having a projected WAR of at least 1.5 according to the ZiPS projections, topped by Brian McCann at 3.1. That includes filling a major need at second base with the acquisition of Starlin Castro, who projects fourth on the team in WAR at 2.2.

Just as notable is that the only Yankee starter that projects to WAR of less than 1.50 is 39-year-old outfielder Carlos Beltran at just 0.3, but the good news there is that New York also made a nice under-the-radar addition in Aaron Hicks that could ultimately take the starting job away from Beltran sooner rather than later.


2016 New York Yankees Pitching Forecast
The starting rotation should not be that much different than it was last season except that young Luis Servino will now be with the club right from opening day after being a mid-season call-up in 2015. And that is a good thing considering Servino forecasts to have the second highest WAR among the starting pitchers at 2.7, just marginally behind ace Masahiro Tanaka (2.8).

And more good news for the rotation is that the starters may not need to go much further than five effective innings once the newly acquired Aroldis Chapman returns from his suspension for domestic assault. Chapman is a long-time closer that routinely hits 100 MPH, and he now should be one of the best set-up men in the league, giving the Yanks an envious trio at the end of games in Chapman, Betances and Miller!

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