MLB Betting Preview: Atlanta Braves Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, February 10, 2016 11:36 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016 11:36 PM UTC

The LT Profits Group are providing team profiles for every MLB team for the 2016 season that can be referred to when making MLB picks. Today they look at the Atlanta Braves.

The 2016 MLB season is all set to begin with three games on Sunday, April 3rd with the rest of the league set to begin play the following day on Monday, April 4th, and in an attempt to assist you with your MLB picks, we are presenting team profiles in advance of opening day for all 30 Major League Baseball teams. We are kicking things off today by profiling the Atlanta Braves, who finished 67-95 in 2015 and in fourth place in the National League East.

To begin, here is a summary of the Atlanta betting statistics for the 2015 season. Please take note that all of these stats are for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle Sports.


Atlanta Braves 2015 Betting Stats

  Home  Away  Overall 
Record 42-39 25-56 67-95
Units Won/Lost  +6.69 -23.12 -16.43
Over/Under 38-37-6  43-35-3 81-72-9 


My how the mighty have fallen! The Braves were considered a dynasty right up until winning 96 games as recently as three years ago, but they then entered a rebuilding phase going 79-83 in 2014 before last season’s disaster that saw them lose 95 games for the first time since 1990. The one bright spot was that they actually showed a 6.69-unit betting profit when playing at home, where they finished three games over .500 at 42-39.

Now we move on to the Braves’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.


2015 Atlanta Braves Team Statistics

  Total  Rank
Batting Average  .251 15th
Runs per Game  3.54 30th
Home Runs 100 30th
OPS .674 30th
ERA 4.41 27th
WHIP 1.41 28th
Bullpen ERA 4.69 29th


It is easy to see why the Braves were so bad last year as the team was terrible offensively and not much better from a pitching perspective, which was disappointing for a franchise whose longtime staple had been great pitching. The 2015 Braves finished dead last in the Major Leagues in runs scored, home runs and team OPS, and the ERA of both the team as a whole and of the bullpen could not overcome the lack of run production.

Up next, we take a peek at various Atlanta Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.


2016 Atlanta Braves World Series Futures

5Dimes +16500 
Bovada +15000
BetOnline  +15000
Heritage +16500


The Braves generally have the third longest World Series odds for 2016 among all National League teams across most of the top sportsbooks, with only the Philadelphia Phillies and Colorado Rockies having longer consensus odds. But hey, at least the Phillies play in the same division as Atlanta, which should help keep the Braves out of last place in the NL East, right?


2016 Atlanta Braves Batting Forecast
The Braves may have to get creative in generating offense by employing platoons and such, as there is very little to like batting-wise right now with first baseman Freddie Freeman being basically the only sure thing (barring injury of course). Freeman did not qualify for any batting titles last season due to injury, but among National Leaguers with at least 400 plate appearances, he finished 10th in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.

There is no reason to believe Freeman cannot match or better those numbers in 2016, but unfortunately we are not sure where he will get any help from offensively. The best candidates could be newly acquired shortstop Erick Aybar and young catcher Christian Bethancourt, provided the Braves give him ample playing time.


2016 Atlanta Braves Pitching Forecast
The Braves has two reliable starters last year in Shelby Miller and Julio Teheran and both are back as the top two starters for 2016…as of now! You see, the Braves do not figure to contend this season and there have been trade rumors surrounding both of those starters, so to call the starting rotation unsettled at this point could be an understatement.

The bullpen has a couple of solid options in Jason Grilli and Arodys Vizcaino, again provided each can avoid the injury bug that has afflicted them in the past. One key to the improvement of this group though could be Shae Simmons, who is returning from Tommy John surgery. The 25-year-old Simmons showed nice flashes before his injury posting a 2.91 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 21.2 Major League innings in 2014 with a nice 23 strikeouts.

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