MLB Betting: Pitching Edge Brings Profitable Dodgers vs. Giants Pick

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, April 17, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 17, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Our MLB analyst breaks down Sunday night’s game between the Giants and Dodgers. Go inside to read this insightful article before making any of your MLB picks today.

San Francisco (Samardzija) @ LA Dodgers (Maeda)
A pair of fierce NL West rivals will meet again on Sunday when the Giants and Dodgers collide. The opening pitch at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles is slated for 8:05 PM ET. Sunday will be the finale of a three game weekend series, and these teams have split the first two. This will also be the seventh meeting of the season already between these clubs, and San Francisco has taken four of the first six played. Current MLB odds at has the Dodgers as a -132 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.5.


Starting Pitchers
San Francisco will go with 30 year old veteran right-hander Jeff Samardzija on Sunday. Samardzija made two starts so far this season, and compiled a very respectable 3.38 ERA. The former White Sox and Cubs hurler has made two career starts against Los Angeles, posting a lofty 6.35 ERA in addition to a 1.77 WHIP during those outings. It’s worth noting, those two outings came during the 2012 and 2013 seasons. Samardiza was prone to giving up the long ball during spring training, allowing 6 home runs in seven starts which encompassed 30.0 innings of work. He’s given up just on 1 homer in 13.0 innings since regular season action began. Samardzija will be facing a Dodgers team on Sunday which has only a .315 OBP through their first twelve games. However, he’s gone a dismal 2-15 in his team starts during the past two seasons when facing a team with a .325 or less OBP.

The Dodgers will send 28 year old right hander Kent Maeda out to the mound on Sunday. The native of Osaka, Japan will be making his third career MLB start. He’s been terrific in his first two, allowing no earned runs on 10 hits in 12.0 innings, and struck out 8 while walking just 1. Based on his six spring training starts, Maeda’s first two outings comes as not much of a surprise. During six starts in the spring, Maeda posted a stellar 2.35 ERA, and also had an impressive 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.


Home Plate Umpire
Alfonzo Marquez is slated to be behind the plate today, and that’s certainly worth mentioning. Since 1997, home teams have gone 294-218 (.574) when Marquez is calling balls and strikes. Needless to say, and with no pun intended, Marquez has garnered the label of a homer due to those results.


Final Take and Pick
These teams appear to be very evenly matched at this juncture with both having identical 7-5 records. However, I think the Dodgers have struck gold with Maeda, and he’s the difference in this matchup pertaining to one of my Sunday MLB picks.

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MLB Pick:  Dodgers -135
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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