MLB Betting Picks: Dodgers to Dominate Mets on ESPN Wednesday

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, June 21, 2017 4:35 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 21, 2017 4:35 PM UTC

How do the New York Mets stack up against the National League's best teams? In the midst of playing Washington and the L.A. Dodgers, not so hot with a present 1-5 record the last six days.

Chances are the losing will continue with Los Angeles as hot as the temperatures out west, being on an 11-1 tear. Today I will be looking to better recent 18-12 record for MLB picks and offer my thoughts on this ESPN contest.

Pitching Matchup - Pill vs. Hill

Mostly due to injury, Tyler Pill (0-2, 3.75 ERA) has made his way to the majors at 27 for New York. The right-hander has made four appearances since being called up and has started twice. In his 12 innings of work, he has allowed 15 hits and four walks while striking out eight. With L.A. having several power bats from the left side of the plate, Pill has been ripped for .389 batting average and .450 OBP vs. lefties.

Los Angeles is not getting their money's worth out of Rich Hill (5-5, 5.14). The lefty has made eight starts and has yet to register an out in the six inning this season. Hill's high WHIP is a function of not throwing enough strikes with 23 walks in 35 innings. Though nobody from the Dodgers organization is saying anything, the lefty has not been prone to this volume of walks during his career resurgence, which began in late 2015 and with all the blister problems, is he gripping his curveballs different to prevent further time on the DL, yet lowering his effectiveness?

What Offense Come Through in This Matinee?

Despite a smorgasbord of ailments this season, the Mets have still managed to score 4.8 runs per game. However, when facing better overall pitching like those from the Nationals and Dodgers in recent days, they have been held in check to 20 total runs in six contests. New York is 6-8 versus left-handed starters, averaging 4.3 RPG and has to take advantage of Hill's walks allowed.

During this scalding stretch, Dodgers hitters are really seeing the ball and taken 'exit velocity' to a new realm in tallying 7 RPG. To find fault with almost any name manager Dave Roberts puts on his lineup card these days is strictly micro-managing. Being third in runs scored and second in OBP in the NL is the best way to describe L.A. 's offense.

Betting Odds, Head to Head and Bullpen Numbers

With Pill, a change as the starter, the MLB odds were a little late, nevertheless, Los Angeles is a -210 favorite with a total of 9. Since 2015 at Chavez Ravine, these teams are 6-6, which is the same record when looking at the totals. With closer Kenley Jansen the anchor in the bullpen, the Dodgers have the finest ERA in the NL, with the Metropolitans a dismal 14th.

The Winner Is......

With the money line too high on Los Angeles, the total iffy because the Dodgers bats or bullpen could dictate an Over or Under, let's expect L.A.'s offense to ring up numbers on New York pitchers and hold their hitters down enough to win on a -110 run line.

Free MLB Pick: LAD -1.5 (-105)Best Betting Line Offered: BET DSI

Do you prefer to consume your MLB betting content in video form? Check out this Odds Couple video on the Prates vs Brewers

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