MLB Betting: Pick Rays vs. Tigers 'Under'

Jeff Grant

Friday, July 4, 2014 1:05 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 4, 2014 1:05 PM GMT

The Tampa Bays have failed to score runs with Alex Cobb on the mound this season, which will be the main reason why their Friday night contest against the Detroit Tigers will fall short of the betting total. Let’s take a closer look at the pro baseball odds for this American League matchup at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Solid trip
Tampa Bay has proven victorious in six of eight games on its current road trip, but it suffered a 8-1 setback to Detroit as +174 underdogs Thursday, while going OVER the betting total of 8.

The Rays entered this series playing better baseball due to their starting rotation—a group that compiled a 2.89 ERA in their previous 24 trips to the mound.

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 5-2 as underdogs of +100 to +125 when playing away from Tropicana Field, with the UNDER cashing in five of those affairs.


A great opportunity
Detroit is certainly capable of picking up its ninth win in its last 11 games, considering it has registered a 16-6 record in its last 22 meetings in this particular series, with the entire pitching staff garnering a 2.42 ERA over that period of time.

Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera is the main player to handicap when looking over the betting odds, considering he’s batting .537 with four home runs and seven RBIs in his last 11 games played in this rivalry.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is 12-12 at home with a money line of -100 to -150 during the 2014 campaign, with the OVER going 13-8-3 in that situation.


Cobb
Rays starting pitcher Alex Cobb (3-6, 4.20 ERA) snapped a personal two-game losing streak by tallying a 12-7 road win over the Baltimore Orioles last time out, as he allowed four runs (three earned) and eight hits over five frames.

Despite receiving 10 runs of support in that previous effort, Cobb has still been backed by the sixth-lowest figure (3.08 runs per nine innings) in the Majors this season.

In three lifetime appearances versus the Tigers, Cobb has put together a 0-1 record and 2.41 ERA.


Smyly
Tigers starting pitcher Drew Smyly (4-7, 3.57 ERA) has been saddled with a loss in three of his last four outings, including a 6-4 setback on the road to the Houston Astros Sunday—surrendering four runs and eight hits over 2.1 innings of work.

The left-hander is 2-4 with a 3.13 ERA in eight home appearances (six starts), with opposing hitters batting .246 against him (.279 on the road).

Smyly has registered a 1-0 record and 3.27 ERA in his first five career outings (two starts) versus the Rays.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the UNDER is 20-7-2 in the last 29 meetings in this series.
Pick:  Under

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