MLB Betting: 'Over' A No-Brainer As Signs Point To A High Scoring Mariner vs. Cubs Game

Mariners vs Cubs

Sunday, July 31, 2016 6:04 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapping professional breaks down Sunday’s Interleague game between the Mariners and Cubs. Go inside to read this intriguing betting preview culminated with a MLB pick.

Sunday Night ESPN baseball
The Mariners and Cubs will conclude a three-game series on Sunday at Wrigley Field in Chicago. The first pitch is slated for 8:08 PM ET, and the game will be televised by ESPN. These teams split the first two games of the set with Chicago winning 12-1 on Friday, and Seattle bouncing back for a 4-1 victory yesterday. Current MLB odds at Pinnacle has the Cubs as a -135 money line favorite, and the posted total is 8.0.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Mariners will go with their ace Felix Hernandez. However, Hernandez hasn’t necessarily fit that description in his recent starts. “King Felix” spent nearly two months on the disabled list between late May until his return on 7/20. During his one start before going on the DL, and his two since returning, Hernandez has compiled an uninspiring 7.23 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and all three games went over the total.

The Cubs will go with veteran 29-year-old southpaw Brian Matusz. Frequent flyers have nothing on Matusz this year. He started the season with Baltimore, made seven relief appearances, and collected a massive 12.00 ERA. He was traded to Atlanta in April, released by the Braves in July, and signed by the Cubs shortly after. Along the way, he’s pitched for five different minor league teams in 2016, in addition to his earlier stint with Baltimore. Now he’ll be thrust into the national spotlight when he makes his 2016 starting debut on ESPN this evening. Matusz has gone a dismal 27-41 in his MLB career, making 68 starts, and coming out of the bullpen 211 times.

 

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Final Take and Pick
Seattle has gone 11-5 over the total during Interleague games this year. Those sixteen contests combined to average a hefty 12.1 runs scored per game. I’m a bit skeptical as to how physically sound Felix Hernandez really, and that’s based on his most recent performances. Until I see one of his vintage outings, my doubts will remain steady.

This is a risky move by Cubs manager Joe Madden as it pertains to starting Brian Matusz. Madden’s plan is to use a six-man starting rotation in the second half and keep his pitchers fresh in addition to healthy come postseason time. I don’t have any issue with the concept. Nevertheless, I’m not so sure Matusz is the guy who can adequately fill that role.

Both of these teams have exhibited sufficient power in 2016. Seattle is on a pace to smash 200 home runs this season, and the Cubs are at a clip of 193 homers hit in 2016. With all things being considered, and relative to the present total, I like this game to surpass the number. One of my Sunday MLB picks will reflect that prediction.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8.0 (-108) 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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