MLB Betting Odds: World Series Futures Update

Matthew Jordan

Monday, June 6, 2016 6:00 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 6, 2016 6:00 PM UTC

Is it too early to glean anything from the current baseball standings to feel confident about picking the winner of the Fall Classic? Consider The Cubs are the +300 favorites on MLB odds.

I know a lot of Chicago Cubs fans, and many of them say they literally would be OK dying if the Cubs won the World Series this year. And I truly believe it when some of those people tell me that. Of course the Lovable Losers haven't won the World Series since 1908 or even made it to the Fall Classic since 1945, both the longest droughts in baseball. This year's team looks to be the best in my lifetime with no glaring holes, even after losing young slugging outfielder/catcher Kyle Schwarber to a season-ending knee injury very early on. I can't even imagine the partying in Chicago were the Cubs to win it all.

As of Monday, the Cubs are an MLB-best 39-16 and have the largest division lead in baseball, 9.5 games ahead of second-place Pittsburgh in the NL Central. Barring an injury to someone like Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant or Jake Arrieta, the Cubs are winning that division. But it's hardly a clear path to the pennant as the National League looks much more loaded than the American League does.

The second-favorites on Sports Interaction's MLB odds to win the World Series are the San Francisco Giants at +700. They are 35-24 and lead the second-place Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.5 games in the NL West. It's an even-numbered year and the Giants have won the World Series each even-numbered year this decade. They certainly have the pitching to win it all after adding Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija this offseason. Both have been terrific. The team's ace is Madison Bumgarner, and you don't bet against him in the playoffs. The lefty was historically good in the 2014 postseason, winning NLCS and World Series MVP honors. He won two games in that Fall Classic and also had a save in Game 7 against Kansas City. He had a series ERA of 0.43 with a WHIP of 0.48 and strikeouts-to-walks ratio of 17:1. Overall, Bumgarner has a career ERA of 2.14 and WHIP of 0.88 in 88.1 career postseason innings. I don't think the Giants have enough offense, however, especially after losing top outfielder Hunter Pence for likely two months to a torn hamstring. I expect the Giants to deal for a bat.

The NL East-leading Washington Nationals are +800 to win their first World Series on MLB picks. They lead  the second-place Mets by two games in the division. Washington has a terrific 1-2 pitching punch in Stephen Strasburg and Max Scherzer and also perhaps the best offensive force in baseball in reigning NL MVP Bryce Harper. The leading hitter in baseball this season is also a National, second baseman Daniel Murphy. He's hitting a robust .384, nearly 50 points higher than the next highest guy in the NL (Milwaukee's Ryan Braun).

The defending NL champion New York Mets and Boston Red Sox are each +900 on MLB odds to win the World Series. The Mets might have the best overall rotation in baseball, especially now that Matt Harvey appears to have fixed his early-season issues. I question whether New York has enough offense, though. It has lost third baseman and captain David Wright for at least two months due to a herniated disc in his neck and it's quite possible that Wright doesn't make it back this year. It wouldn't surprise me if the Mets traded for a third baseman.

The Red Sox are the AL team with the shortest odds and they are tied for first in the AL East with Baltimore (+1500). Boston has the highest-scoring offense in baseball led by ageless DH David Ortiz, who might be having his best season at age 40. Big Papi is set to retire after this year. Perhaps he shouldn't. Ortiz is hitting .340 (third in AL) with 16 homers (third) and 54 RBIs (first) and is probably the AL MVP favorite. The Red Sox almost surely will be trading for a starting pitcher as that's their weakness. They were rumored to be talking to San Diego for James Shields, but the Padres traded him to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend -- the first big trade of the season.  

How much fun would a Red Sox-Cubs World Series be? The big link between the teams is current Cubs president Theo Epstein, who built Boston into a powerhouse as the club's GM before leaving Boston in October 2011 and landing with the title-starved Cubs. I'm calling an Epstein World Series right now. 

Compare All Live MLB Futures Odds Here[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2957167, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,999996,1602,169,300], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

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