With a lack of quality starting pitching, the Brew Crew come into the season with no hope of a World Series Title. Once again, it reflects in their futures odds as they are listed at +12500 on the MLB odds.
Okay, let's not get too excited as this is not my idea of an ace on any pitching staff. Jungmann is coming off of a 9-8 rookie season with a 3.77 ERA. Jungmann allowed opposing hitters to hit .241 off of him in 119 1/3 innings pitched.
While these are decent numbers, especially for a first year player in which he can grow upon, automatically, this tells the fan base and the bettors that the Brewers are in trouble and and an automatic fade most of the time.
At best look for Jungmann to show some slight improvement, but he'll need some run support to keep his team in their respective games. It's a wait and see situation, but there's nothing wrong with having youth on the pitching staff.
In the Brewers case, having a young 26 year old starter in Jimmy Nelson might not be so bad. Nelson didn't display any kind of excellence in 2015, but he did show the ability to keep the Brewers in the game most of the time while leaving it up to their offense. Nelson finished the season at 11-13 with a 4.11 ERA. On most MLB teams, those numbers wouldn't be appealing, but on Milwaukee, they're respectable.
Just like Jungmann, Nelson did show the ability to keep runners off the basepaths as the opposition hit .246 off of him and he also proved that he was durable, pitching a total of 177 1/3 innings for the season. The Brewers would be happy if Nelson can show the same type of numbers with a possible winning season. That would be asking a lot from their #2 starter, but it's definitely possible.
From the Penthouse to the Outhouse
Veteran starter, Matt Garza, would like to forget that the 2015 season ever existed as he finished the year at 6-14 with a 5.63 ERA. Garza had a 6.00 ERA against the National League and allowed the opposition to hit an abysmal .294 off of him.
This was a guy with a sub 4.00 ERA and winning record before he entered his 10th season, but nothing went right for Garza last year and he can't blame it on lack of run support as he couldn't get anyone out.
In the past, I'd say that he's a solid #3 starter, but after last season, that opinion has changed. I don't think he could pitch much worse as the Brewers are expected to be a losing ball club. Anything positive that they got out of Garza would be a gift.
Just like Matt Garza, Wily Peralta came into 2015 with a winning record and finished the season with a losing record for his career as he was 5-10 with a 4.72 ERA. The common theme from the Brewers starters was not being able to get anyone out and Matt Garza personified that idea as he allowed the opposition to hit .302 off of him. Any pitcher that allows the opposition to hit .300 of them should be sent to the minors, or be traded for “a bag of balls”. These numbers are simply awful from a #3 and #4 pitcher and the Brewers will be in the basement of their division if we see a repeat performance.
Here Comes Help!
Milwaukee is hoping that the 6 starts in September that rookie, Zach Davies, provided for them wasn't a fluke. Davies was 3-2 with a 3.71 ERA and allowed just 26 hits in 34 innings. The one negative to his short stint with Milwaukee was his walks to strikeouts ratio, but one can't really get a gauge on a pitcher that pitched just 34 innings. Just the same, if Davies can continue to pitch well, he'll definitely be moved up in the rotation if Garza and Peralta present any problems.
Milwaukee's offense will need to play well to keep their club competitive as this is one of the worst pitching staff in the majors and I would advise keeping Milwaukee out of your MLB picks. Good pitching wins games and you won't find it here. MLB odds makers see that and there are no future bets to be made on this squad.