MLB Betting: Mets On Top Of Boards To Beat Indians At The Jake

Jason Lake

Sunday, April 17, 2016 12:48 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 17, 2016 12:48 PM UTC

It's been a so-so start to the season for both the Mets and the Tribe. The MLB odds aren't too keen on New York's chances to win Sunday's series finale at The Jake.

Jason's 2016 record as of April 16: 4-4 ML, 1-0 Totals (+0.81 units)

Maybe the New York Mets (4-6, –5.09 units) should just take the rest of the month off and start over. Their 2016 campaign hasn't been going so well, and quite frankly, there are more important things going on: Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has been put on family emergency leave after his newborn son developed some “complications.” We haven't been told any details, but whatever's going on, everyone here at the home office hopes for the best.

Meanwhile, the Mets still have to play Sunday afternoon (1:10 p.m. ET) in Cleveland. This is Game 3 of a three-game series at the former Jacobs Field; the two clubs split the first two games, with New York (+104) prevailing 6-5 in the opener, and Cleveland (+114) responding with a 7-5 victory in Game 2. The MLB odds boards are firmly on the home side for the finale, as Corey Kluber will be pitching for the Tribe against Steven Matz.

I, Klubot
You may remember Kluber (2.97 FIP last year) as the surprise winner of the 2014 American League Cy Young Award in his first full season in the bigs. Or you might remember Kluber as the guy who finished dead last on the 2015 money charts at –17.47 units on a team record of 11-21. Kluber held up his end of the bargain, but Cleveland lost nine games where he gave up two earned runs or fewer.

Things aren't working out this year, either. Kluber has one quality start in his two appearances, but the Tribe (5-4, +0.91 units) lost both of them anyway to fall another 2.37 units in the hole with their ace on the mound. But at least he's more or less on track; Matz (3.61 FIP last year) got shelled in his 2016 debut for seven runs in just 1.2 innings, losing 10-3 to the Miami Marlins (+136 away) last week.

Must Read: Matthew Jordan's MLB Picks For Sunday

Fantasy Corner
In theory, this might be a good spot to put a Cleveland hitter in your fantasy lineup, but we can't back that up with any stats; the only guy with any at-bats versus Matz is Marlon Byrd (1-for-3, one K, .667 OPS). Let's take a flyer anyway on CF Rajai Davis (.746 last year in Detroit) with the lefty Matz on the hill. Although Davis is a light hitter, he stole his fifth base of the season in Saturday's win over New York. Not bad for a platoon guy.

As for our MLB picks, one would think that fading Kluber is the right thing to do until further notice. Matz led New York to five wins in his six starts last year as a big-league freshman, earning 3.9 units along the way, and he'll have the advantage Sunday against a line-up that's largely unfamiliar with his work. We'll give Matz a mulligan for last week's debacle. Use it wisely, sir, you only get one.

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Free MLB Pick: Mets +141
Best Line Offered: at WagerWeb

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