MLB Betting: Los Angeles Angels Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, March 30, 2016 5:49 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 30, 2016 5:49 PM GMT

The 2016 MLB season is set to begin with opening day on Sunday, so the LT Profits Group continue to profile every team to help with your MLB picks. Next is the Los Angeles Angels.

We have arrived at the start of the 2016 MLB season, as the season kicks off with three games this Sunday followed by the rest of the league beginning play this Monday. Thus, we continue our team profiles all week long in an attempt to help with your MLB picks in advance of opening day. Today we look at the Los Angeles Angels, who finished in third place in the American League West in 2015 at 85-77.

Let us begin with a summary of the Los Angeles betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle.

 

Los Angeles Angels 2015 Betting Stats

   Home  Away  Overall
Record  49-32  36-45  85-77
Units Won/Lost   +9.41  -7.11  +2.30
Over/Under  34-43-4   42-35-4   76-78-8 

 

The Angels went from having the best record in baseball two years ago to failing in their attempt to return to the playoffs last year. Los Angeles actually took the division lead away from the Astros the final day before the All-Star break after chasing Houston all year, but the Halos faded late and not only were re-passed by the Astros but were also overtaken by the Texas Rangers, who completed their late-season surge by winning the division title.

Now we follow up with a look at the Angels’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.

 

2015 Los Angeles Angels Team Statistics

   Total   Rank
Batting Average   .246  27th
Runs per Game  4.08  20th
Home Runs  176  10th
OPS  .702  24th
ERA  3.94  13th
WHIP  1.26  12th
Bullpen ERA  3.86  18th

 

The Angels fell off both offensively and in the pitching department relative to two years ago, and the only reason they were still in the playoff hunt until the final day of the season was because nobody in the division was good enough to get any separation. The downfall for the Angels was losing 19 games in August, but even with that, Los Angeles lost a chance to force a playoff tiebreaker by losing the regular season finale at Texas.

Up next, we examine various Los Angeles Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.

 

2016 Los Angeles Angels World Series Futures

   Odds
5Dimes  +3500 
Bovada  +4000 
BetOnline   +3300 
Heritage  +3500 

 

After possibly being overrated the last few years, expectations are not as high for the Angels this year despite possessing probably the best five-tool player in the Major Leagues in Mike Trout. The pessimism seems justified too with the Angels not making any splashes during the off-season other than acquiring shortstop Andrelton Simmons.

 

2016 Los Angeles Angels Batting Forecast
Trout projects to be the best player in the game, with the ZiPS projections forecasting him for a sensational 9.3 WAR, and considering that he has already built a large sample size of nearly 3000 Major League plate appearances and is still just 24 years old, we see no reason to doubt his predictions.

But who will provide Trout with some batting support in the lineup? Well, the newly acquired Simmons is a nice step forward with his predicted 3.7 WAR and the ageless Albert Pujols could surpass his predicted 2.7 WAR as he has had a great exhibition season, quieting concerns over his surgically repaired foot. However, there is not much to get excited about otherwise, especially in left field where the Angels are woefully weak.

 

2016 Los Angeles Angels Pitching Forecast
Ace starter Garrett Richards had a decent season last year, but it pales compared to his breakthrough but injury-shortened 2014 campaign. The ZiPS projections like Richards to more closely resemble the pitcher he was two years ago with a predicted 3.8 WAR, which is good news. The bad news is the rotation is not very deep, especially with a seemingly washed up Jered Weaver forecasted to have a replacement player level 0.6 WAR.

The news regarding the bullpen is also mixed. The good news is that it could be a deeper unit than last year with five pitchers forecasted by ZiPS to have better than average seasons. The bad news is that none of those five look like an elite closer, with current closer Huston Street forecasted for just a 0.4 WAR, which is actually less than the 0.6 predicted WAR for Joe Smith.

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