MLB Betting: How To Cash On The Subway Series Opener When Yankees Visit The Mets

Swinging Johnson

Monday, August 1, 2016 1:41 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 1, 2016 1:41 PM UTC

The Yankees visit their cross-town rivals for two and then return to the Bronx to complete the four-game set which starts tonight. Let's check out the MLB odds in this series opener.

Swinger’s MLB Record: 58-30, +27.07 units
Underdogs have not been kind to me this season, especially recently. My cooler began nine days ago when I took a shot with the San Diego Padres who were, in my mind at least, getting a generous +282 from the MLB odds makers at Pinnacle. Though the game was knotted at two in the final frame, the final score proved to be a 3-2 setback to Max Scherzer and the Washington Nationals. I should have known the tides were turning against me.

Since that time my MLB picks have gone stone cold. Yesterday we cast our fortunes with the underdog White Sox over the hapless Twins and once again my dog had no bite as the White Sox fell 6-4. At least this confirms that yes, I do write about my losses as well as my victories. It's not as easy, I'll grant you that, but we're in this together and nobody wins all the time. The trick is keeping your composure when it would be much easier to relent and lose it entirely.

The tides will turn again and perhaps tonight's Yankees vs Mets game is the end of this most recent cooler and the beginning of a white hot heater. Let's find out!


Yankees Waiting 'til Next Year
The Bombers have gone from a fringe contender to a disappointing pretender as they have somewhat unexpectedly dismantled a good chunk of their bullpen in exchange for some exciting prospects that could pay healthy dividends down the road. When a club is playing above .500 baseball and within seven games of first place, the chances of a postseason date may not be ideal but they are certainly not hopeless. Nonetheless, the Yankees are now without the services of flame thrower Aroldis Chapman and southpaw reliever Andrew Miller. They have now lost four straight and will turn to former All-Star C.C. Sabathia (6-8, 3.95 ERA, 1.35 WHIP) to reverse their downward spiral.

Sabathia has faded as the season has worn on but his last outing against the Astros was his first solid performance in quite a while. It was the first time in seven outings that he's allowed fewer than four runs when he surrendered just two earned runs on four hits in six-plus innings of work that led to a 6-3 win over the Astros in Houston. Sabathia is 4-2 when starting against the Mets with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.254. His team's record is 5-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts.


Betting Analysis
Like the Yankees, the Mets were in a funk of their own, dropping four straight until yesterday's 6-4 win over the Colorado Rockies. Tonight they will hand the ball to Baylor product Logan Verrett (1-4, 4.81 ERA, 1.48 WHIP) who has found himself a starting spot in the rotation since Matt Harvey was sent on the DL with season-ending shoulder surgery. Verrett has not allowed more than three runs in seven of his last eight appearances. I should say that of those eight appearances, three came in relief but nevertheless, Verrett has pitched like a man who wants a permanent job as a starter.

The Mets are still a viable contender while the Yankees have clearly lost their focus after two critical pieces of their bullpen were dealt. If management doesn't believe then why should the players? Verrett will get his first look at this New York Yankees lineup and that should bode well for him as opposing hitters may be unfamiliar with the 26-year-old right-hander. Here are a few more stats to bolster my argument for a Mets' victory:

The Mets are 6-2 in their last eight interleague games against a team with a winning record.
The Mets are 5-2 in their last seven interleague games against a left-handed starter.
The Mets are 23-5 in their last 28 Monday games overall.


Free MLB Pick: Mets -102 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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