MLB Betting Edge in August 15th Starting Pitchers

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 14, 2014 8:38 AM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 14, 2014 8:38 AM UTC

Two red-hot pitchers square off when the Yankees face the Rays tonight. A couple of southpaws with very good résumes battle in the Phillies/Giants game later this evening. There are clear MLB betting values in each game.

New York Yankees (McCarthy) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Cobb) 7:10 PM ET
The Yankees starter Brandon McCarthy suffered his first loss as a member of the Yankees in his last start versus the Cleveland Indians. Despite the loss, the right-hander still continued to pitch well allowing just 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. The newly acquired hurler has now gone 5-1 against the money for the Yankees with a superb 2.21 ERA, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

The Rays right-hander Alex Cobb hasn’t been too bad himself. Cobb enters tonight in terrific form over his last 4-starts posting an excellent 1.35 ERA, a 0.94 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Despite putting up decent number at home (3.62 ERA/1.19 WHIP) this season he’s gone a dismal 2-6 against the money line. He’s also fared much better in day games (2.30 ERA/7-starts) than at night (4.13 ERA/9-starts) in 2014.

Advantage: I like the way that Brandon McCarthy has responded since the trade. He looks like a vastly different pitcher than the one we saw in a Arizona Diamondbacks uniform earlier this season. Alex Cobb has pitched extremely well of late, and has just been a bit unlucky at home. I don’t see a betting edge for either pitcher in this spot. I do have a lean toward this one being a low scoring affair, and would seriously contemplate a MLB wager on the 'under.'

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Philadelphia Phillies (Hamels) vs. San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner) 10:15 PM ET
If I’m part of the front office in Philadelphia, or a loyal Phillies fan, then I’m thrilled with what veteran Cole Hamels has provided me with this season. It’s too bad the rest of the supporting cast has come along for the ride. The southpaw hurler has been in tremendous form over his last 5-starts posting a microscopic 0.80 ERA, a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio, and all 5 of those outings went under the total. Hamels has gone just 5-6 against the money on the road this season despite compiling an outstanding 1.55 ERA in those starts. Hamels has seen each of his last 6-starts on the road go under the total. He was super in his lone start versus the Giants this season. In that outing at home on July 24th, he allowed 1 earned run on 6-hits, while striking out 10, and walking just 1 in 8.0 innings, during a 2-1 Phillies win.

The Giants will counter with a southpaw of their own in Madison Bumgarner. The 25-year old hurler has pitched much better on the road (1.72 ERA) than at home (5.60 ERA) this season. As a matter of fact his last 5-starts at home have been brutal. In those 5-outings he’s posted a terrible 6.99 ERA, a 1.66 WHIP, went 1-4 against the money line, and lost -5.21 units against the money line. The one silver lining for Giants fans was the fact he was superb in his only start of the year versus the Phillies this season. Bumgarner tossed 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball that day at First Citizens Park in Philadelphia.

Advantage: It would be easy to get giddy when evaluating this pitching matchup if not for the fact that the Phillies have given Hamels little support this season. Bumgarner has had all-star form on the road but seems clueless at home. There’s little doubt that you have to give a huge betting edge to Hamels in this one with all MLB handicapping factors considered. Make the most of this MLB pick at Pinnacle Sports.

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