MLB Betting: Dodgers vs. Giants Pitching Duel Spells Profit

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, April 10, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 10, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapper breaks down Sunday’s game between the Dodgers and Giants. Don’t make any of your MLB picks today without first reading this insightful betting preview article.

Dodgers (Kazmir) vs. Giants (Cueto)
Two long time National League West rivals will play the finale of a four game series on Sunday at AT&T Park in San Francisco. San Francisco took the first two games of the series, and the Dodgers rebounded for a 3-2 win on Saturday. These teams have played each other fairly even since 2014, evidenced by San Francisco going 22-19 during those encounters. Current MLB odds at Matchbook.com has San Francisco as a -140 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.0.


 

Sunday Starting Pitchers Dominate in April
A few notable similarities stand out pertaining to this starting pitching matchup on Sunday. Scott Kazmir and Johnny Cueto both were terrible in their spring training starts. Each of these seasoned hurlers has been terrific during the month of April in recent seasons. Let’s be a bit more specific in that regard.

Scot Kazmir made five spring training starts for the Dodgers, posting a lofty 5.51 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, and opposing hitters had a combined .337 team batting average. Johnny Cueto was even worse in his spring training appearances for San Francisco. Cueto made three starts, posting a mammoth 9.58 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, and opposing hitters had a combined .347 team batting average.

Kazmir and Cueto each had successful 2016 debuts for their new teams. Kazmir pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball during a 3-0 win at San Diego this past Tuesday, allowing just 1 hit, and struck out 5 while walking none. Johnny Cueto went 6.0 innings in last Tuesday’s 2-1 win at Milwaukee. During that start, Cueto allowed 1 earned run on 6 hits, and struck out 4 while walking none.

These two veteran pitchers have been outstanding during their April starts of late. Scott Kazmir made ten starts during the previous two seasons in April, and compiled an excellent 1.64 ERA. Johnny Cueto’s domination in April extends back to the 2012 MLB campaign. During that period of time, Cueto made nineteen starts in April, and had an extremely impressive 1.71 ERA.

 

Final Take
Since the onset of the 2015 season, Los Angeles has gone 20-8 (71.4%) under the total in road day games. San Francisco’s Johnny Cueto has gone a noteworthy 56-26 (68.3%) under the total in his career during day game starts. Despite both teams stellar offensive production this week, I like Sunday’s game to be an old fashioned starting pitching duel, and one of my MLB picks will reflect that forecast.

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MLB Pick:  Giants Under 7 -103
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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