MLB Betting on Dead Heat Odds: Pirates vs. Reds

Steven Suarez

Saturday, July 12, 2014 2:40 PM GMT

The Reds are within striking distance of the top spot in the NL Central and another win tonight could help them close the gap even further. Check out where we believe the best MLB betting value can be found for tonight's game in Cincinnati.

Odds Overview
It's a dead heat when it comes to the MLB odds, with both teams available for backing at -105.

Want to make a play on the total? Currently the O/U is trading at 7.5 runs, with most of the action coming in on the 'under' for now. Head on over to our odds page to track the live line movement throughout the day before making your MLB pick.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton)
The Pirates were hot to start the month, notching wins in five of their first six games, which included a three-game sweep of the Phillies, but they've cooled off a bit here of late.

After losing three of four in St. Louis, Pittsburgh was handed another defeat in the series opener against Cincinnati yesterday. The Pirates allowed three runs in the bottom of the eighth and ended up losing 6-5.

Following such a tough loss, Charlie Morton will hope to bring the goods in hopes of leading Pittsburgh back to the winning side of things.

Morton may be only 5-9 this season, but he's been far better than what the record would suggest. He owns a 3.10 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 18 starts and comes in on a great run of form, having allowed only three earned runs over his last 20 innings of work.

Morton's most recent start was his best of the season. He pitched seven innings of one-hit ball, striking out five and walking two, but he had to settle for a no decision in a 2-0 loss to St. Louis. Once again the Pirates offense was unable to help him out.

 

Cincinnati Reds (Leake)
You've got to give credit to the Reds for hanging in there and staying competitive despite some hard-hitting injuries to important pieces throughout the season.

It's been a rare sight to see Cincinnati trot out a full-strength batting order and we'll have to wait even longer to see it again, with both Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips on the disabled list right now.

Despite the setbacks health-wise, the Reds have put together a nice run over the last week or so, going 7-2 over their past nine games overall. They took two of three against Milwaukee, won four of five against the Cubs and started off this set with the Pirates with a come-from-behind victory.

Mike Leake will be starting tonight and he's currently 7-7 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. The 26-year old looked good five days ago, allowing only two runs (while striking out seven) over seven innings in a 9-3 win over the Cubs.

In terms of hitting, Cincinnati is batting a very solid .275 as a team over the past week, with Ramon Santiago (.429), Billy Hamilton (.345), Zack Cozart (.320), Chris Heisey (.308) and Ryan Ludwick (.300) all hitting .300 or above during that time.

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MLB Pick
Again we are getting drawn into a sports pick on the total tonight.

Both of these pitchers have looked sharp recently, especially Morton, who has allowed only one earned run in two starts this month. We think he'll make life difficult tough on the Reds, a team that's missing two of its best hitters in Votto and Phillips.

Meanwhile, Leake has been solid at home (3.50 ERA) and will face a Pittsburgh team that's hitting just .247 as a team over the last week.

When push comes to shove, we feel most comfortable in recommending the 'under.' Look for a duel to emerge between Morton and Leake in a very important divisional clash this evening.

Free MLB Pick: Under 7.5