MLB Betting: Colorado Rockies Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, March 10, 2016 7:35 PM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 10, 2016 7:35 PM GMT

We are three weeks away from the 2016 MLB season, and the LT Profits Group continues to profile every MLB team to help with your MLB picks, today profiling the Colorado Rockies.

 

The 2016 MLB season is now just three weeks away as it begins with three games on Sunday, April 3rd, with the rest of the league commencing play Monday, April 4th. In an attempt to help with your MLB picks, we are here providing profiles all 30 Major League Baseball teams in advance of that opening day, and today we profile the Colorado Rockies, who finished fifth and last in the National League West in 2015 at 68-94.

We begin this profile with a summary of the Colorado betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle Sports.

 

Colorado Rockies 2015 Betting Stats

   Home  Away  Overall
Record  36-45  32-49  68-94
Units Won/Lost    -9.84  -3.05  -12.89
Over/Under  45-34-2    39-40-2    84-74-4  

For years, the Rockies have been competitive in the altitude of home while struggling on the road at sea level, but last season was different as they were even bad at home going 36-45 while losing 9.84 units. On the flip side, while a 32-49 road record is nothing to brag about, that mark actually marked an 11-game improvement over Colorado’s abysmal 21-60 road record of two seasons ago!

Now we move on to the Rockies’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.

 

2015 Colorado Rockies Team Statistics

   Total    Rank 
Batting Average    .265  5th
Runs per Game  4.55  5th
Home Runs  186  7th
OPS  .748  4th
ERA  5.04  30th
WHIP  1.51   30th
Bullpen ERA  4.70  30th

These statistics must be taken in context as naturally Colorado will have better offensive numbers than other teams while playing their home games one mile above sea level while their pitching numbers figure to suffer for that same reason. Still, teams do play an equal amount of road games as they do home games, so the altitude is not totally to blame for having the worst pitching numbers in the Major Leagues.

Next up, we now take a look at various Colorado Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds boards on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.

 

2016 Colorado Rockies World Series Futures

   Odds
5 Dimes  +17500  
Bovada  +15000  
BetOnline    +20000  
Heritage  +16500  

It is difficult to envision the Rockies being a competitive team this year after not making much of a splash during the off-season, and the oddsmakers are certainly down on them as the early Colorado posted win total of 68½ is second lowest in the National League ahead of only the Philadelphia Phillies (66½).

 

2016 Colorado Rockies Batting Forecast
There was heavy speculation that the Rockies would trade away their perceived best commodity this off-season in Carlos Gonzalez, but they did not as of yet, perhaps hoping he gets off to a nice start this year and they can trade him then when the asking price is higher. With that being said, the ZiPS projections only forecast Cargo to have a 1.8 WAR this season, and even that modest figure is tied for second on the team with Charlie Blackmon.

It now looks like Nolan Arenado has taken over as the star of the team, and he indeed is a legitimate superstar in the making despite playing in altitude with his forecasted WAR of 4.1. However, it is slim pickings for the Colorado offense after that, an indication that this team should be offensively challenged on the road this season. The only real offensive addition this off-season is Gerardo Parra, and he forecasts to nothing but a solid bench player at a 1.0 WAR.

 

2016 Colorado Rockies Pitching Forecast
There is no way to sugarcoat just how bad the Colorado pitching was last year, but believe it or not, ZiPS actually gives a little reason for optimism. That is because Jorge de la Rosa (2.7 WAR), Jon Gray (2.2), and Chad Bettis (2.1) all project to be above average starters, and if that combined WAR of 7.0 does come to fruition, it would outperform the collective WAR of the entire starting rotation last year.

The bullpen also looks fortified with the additions of Jake McGee, Jason Motte and Chad Qualls, although it will be very interesting to see how that trio of hard-throwers performs at Coors Field.

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