MLB Betting: Chicago White Sox Team Profile 2016

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, March 23, 2016 7:45 PM GMT

We are less than two weeks from the start of the 2016 MLB season and the LT Profits Group are profiling every team to help with your MLB picks. Next up is the Chicago White Sox.

 

The 2016 MLB season is now less than two weeks away as it kicks off with three games Sunday, April 3rd, while the rest of the league begins play Monday, April 4th. So in an attempt to assist with your MLB picks, we are here profiling all 30 MLB teams in advance of opening day. Our profiles now continue with the Chicago White Sox, who finished in fourth place in the American League Central in 2015 at 76-86.

First, here is a summary of the Chicago betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle.

 

Chicago White Sox 2015 Betting Stats

   Home  Away  Overall
Record  40-41  36-45  76-86
Units Won/Lost   -8.21  -4.45  -12.66
Over/Under  33-45-3   43-34-4   76-79-7 

It is now hard to believe that the White Sox were popular darkhorse selections to win the AL Central before the start of last season after finishing just 73-89 in 2014, but instead they only increased their total wins by three while still finishing 10 games under .500. The White Sox remained one of the worst hitting teams in the Major Leagues while the pitching was disappointing for the most part. Up next, we take a look at the White Sox’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.

 

2015 Chicago White Sox Team Statistics

   Total   Rank
Batting Average   .250  22nd
Runs per Game  3.84  28th
Home Runs  136  26th
OPS  .686  27th
ERA  3.98  14th
WHIP  1.32  20th
Bullpen ERA  3.67  15th

Just imagine how bad the Chicago offense would have been last season if not for Jose Abreu belting 30 homers and driving in 101 runs while batting .290! The rest of the lineup was mostly weak, and it was rather surprising that Abreu was not pitched around more often. As for the pitching, All-Star Chris Sale was good but not as good as he was in prior seasons, and it was actually Jose Quintana that led the staff with a 3.36 ERA despite his 9-10 record.

Now let us examine various Chicago Future Odds on winning the 2016 World Series from several top sportsbooks. You can view these and other MLB odds on the MLB Betting Futures Directory.

 

2016 Chicago White Sox World Series Futures

   Odds
5Dimes  +3500 
Bovada +3300 
BetOnline   +3300 
Heritage  +3400 

After the disappointing results of last season, would it be sacrilegious to say that the White Sox look improved again this year? Well they do on paper, so much so that they may actually get to .500 and surpass their 80½ win total. Our main trepidation though is that we have all heard this song before about the White Sox without the results on the field, so we suggest you tread carefully.

 

2016 Chicago White Sox Batting Forecast
We have already alluded to Abreu carrying what little there was of the offense last season, although Adam Easton was at least competent, which was more that can be said about the rest of the lineup. So even with Abreu and Eaton combing for a WAR of nearly 8.0, the Chicago offense still had the lowest collective WAR in the Major Leagues as a group.

There is reason for a little more optimism this year though as the White Sox made some huge upgrades in Todd Frazier and Brett Lawrie, with that duo combining for a projected WAR of 5.5 according to the ZiPS projections.

 

2016 Chicago White Sox Pitching Forecast
Sale is still the ace of the staff despite not living up to the lofty standards he set in previous seasons last year, when he finished just 13-11 with a 3.41 ERA and 274 strikeouts in 208.2 innings. If you believe the ZiPS forecasts though, he is projected to have one of his best seasons this year with a 5.9 WAR. Quintana then follows with a nice predicted 4.2 WAR.

In another subtle move, the White Sox cheaply acquire Mat Latos, and if he can regain his form of a few years ago, it would make the starting rotation that much better. Chicago also has a nice closer in the bullpen in David Robertson, although the rest of that pen is boringly mediocre.