MLB Betting: Can Profit Pitchers Keep Making Cash?

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, June 10, 2015 12:16 AM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 10, 2015 12:16 AM UTC

Each season as baseball handicappers we come across particular pitchers who look like they can beat the MLB odds every time out. Of course they cannot, but which hot hurlers will still be making money later?

Here is the lowdown on which pitchers look like they will be long term winners and those who dry up like a puddle on a sunny Florida day.


Pitchers Who Will Remain Money-Makers
At present, Michael Wacha of the Cardinals is the best bet among pitchers and a clear choice for MLB picks at 10-1 (Cards record) and +9.2 units. Wacha has a low ERA of 2.18 and his WHIP of 1.04 indicates he’s not going to beat himself by putting on extra base-runners with walks. What is also impressive is he and Redbirds are 7-0 on the road. In truth it will he harder to beat the sportsbooks soon because he will become a larger favorite, but ultimately Wacha will add more to wagering accounts like 5Dimes, in part because of the juice lines, because of his talent.

Two longtime studs David Price (+7 units) and Felix Hernandez (+7) will continue to do well in spite of having heavy freight related to the MLB odds because they know how to pitch and are supremely confident in their abilities. Both Detroit and Seattle both emerged from ugly losing streaks thanks to this pair and while they might not double their current numbers by season’s end for sports picks, it is hard to not like the reliability factor each present.

Both Carlos Martinez (+6.7) of St. Louis and James Shields (+6.3) of San Diego should continue as preferred wagers as the months pass by. Martinez throws in the mid to upper 90’s and when he’s on, has some filthy breaking pitchers that cause swings and misses or bewilderment as called strike three’s.

Shields is beginning to appear he has gopher ball issue from earlier in the year resolved and the San Diego bullpen is making strides which should help save victories, not give them away. The right-hander has always been known for giving up one less run then the opposing team needs to win and should be a double digit unit’s winner this campaign.

Check out our Latest MLB Betting Angle for Pitchers with WHIP

Careful Backing these Current Profitable Pitchers
While I am a big fan of the Rangers' Nick Martinez and the fact he is +7.8 units with Texas 8-3 in his starts not sure where he’s headed. The concerns are he is not your typical big league pitcher at 6’1, 175 pounds. This smallish frame for a starting pitcher is worrisome because he’s not a strikeout hurler with on 40 in 65 1/3 innings. Also, he has less than a 2-to-1 K/W ratio (40-21) and he has given up just a little more than a hit an inning. With Texas not as bad as they started or as good as they have shown in recent weeks, not certain Martinez moves the meter for continued winning.

I admit I might be completely wrong on Mike Pelfrey (+7.6) of the Twins as this combination is 8-3 in 2015. The 31-year old right-hander showed great promise over a series of starts with the New York Mets, but that was usually followed by very dull period of losing. With an ERA of 2.28 and WHIP of 1.22, this is one of the best stretches of his entire career which instead has 4.42 ERA and WHIP 1.47. If there is one player who epitomizes Minnesota this season it is Pelfrey, yet there are few indicators either will continue anywhere close to present levels as the season progresses.

Chad Bettis (+6.7) has proven to be kind of pitcher Colorado needs, at least for now. At 26, not exactly a youngster, he was called up in May from Triple A to start and the Rockies have won each time he’s taken the ball in five starts thanks to a 2.28 and 1.11 WHIP. Bettis 3-to-1 K/W ratio is dramatically better what he’s done in 38 previous big league appearances and what he’s produced in the minors. He’s been fantastic on any count in which he’s had two strikes holding opposing hitters to .156 average (8 for 51). Has Bettis turned a corner in his career, possibly but we would not bet on it looking forward.

comment here