MLB Betting: Best Over/Under Team in First Half 2014

David Lawrence

Tuesday, July 15, 2014 3:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 15, 2014 3:07 PM UTC

We've hit the Midsummer Classic in the 2014 baseball season, which means it’s the ideal time to reflect on the first section of the season. Let’s look back and see who were the two best over bets and who were the two best under bets so far. There’s a good chance some of these total trends continue into the second half.

Best Over Bet: Miami Marlins
Record: 54-34-6
The Marlins have played in the most 'over' through the first half of the baseball season, which is a bit surprising when you consider that their pitching is mostly middle-of-the-pack and their offense is only slightly above average. They are 23rd in team ERA and just 12th in runs scored. However, that doesn’t tell the whole story. The Marlins are eighth in runs allowed and that’s thanks in part to a fielding percentage that’s ranked 25th. Their defense behind the pitchers has been weak, which means this team has given up more runs than they should. On the whole, they give up 4.41 runs per game and scored 4.21 themselves. That’s been enough to get them the most overs in baseball picks.


Second-Best Over Bet: Colorado Rockies
Record: 50-37-8
It’s not surprising to see the Rockies occupy a spot on this list. After all, their ballpark is built for offense and 'overs.' Coors Field leads the Majors this season with a 1.362 Park Factor. As a result, the Rockies have scored 457 runs this season, which is the second most in the majors. Their pitching has also help the cause for over bettors as their team ERA of 5.07 is the worst number of any of the 30 teams.


Best Under Bet: San Diego Padres
Record: 29-62-4
The Padres came into the season expecting to be one of the better 'under' sports picks and they’ve delivered. Even facing low totals on a nightly basis hasn’t slowed this team down as they’ve only gone over the number 29 teams in 95 games. The math is quite simple: this team just doesn’t score enough. They have touched the plate the fewest times in the Major Leagues with just 279 runs. That’s less than three runs per game. With a pitching staff that has the fourth-best ERA in baseball (3.18), this team easily cruised to so many unders. You can probably expect that to continue in the second half, reflected in the MLB odds, as well.


Second-Best Under Bet: Atlanta Braves
Record: 37-54-4
The Braves lost a couple of star starters (Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy) at the beginning of the season, so many people figured they’d have to use their bats to win games this year. As it turns out, they’ve found adequate replacements in their rotation and have posted the sixth-best ERA in baseball (3.36). And as for their bats? Well, they’ve been extremely disappointing, which is why this team has played so many unders. Jason Heyward, B.J. Upton and Dan Uggla have been horrendous at the plate. That’s mainly why the Braves 21st in batting average and 28th in home runs.

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