MLB Betting: Back Hamels and the Phillies vs. Brewers Tonight

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 7, 2014 12:00 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 7, 2014 12:00 PM UTC

The Milwaukee Brewers have fallen flat over the last week, which provides the Philadelphia Phillies an opportunity to steal the series opener Monday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League affair at Miller Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Struggles continue
Philadelphia has hit .206 and averaged just 2.56 runs in dropping 13 of its last 16 games, including a 6-2 setback to the Pittsburgh Pirates as +146 road underdogs Sunday, while going OVER the betting total for the third time in four contests.

MLB handicappers will find that this is the first Phillies squad to have more than 50 losses before the All-Star break since 1997, but there’s hope for a turnaround in this spot with outfielder Marlon Byrd hitting .341 in his last 10 games versus the Brewers.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise has compiled a forgettable 89-115 record when taking on teams with a winning record.

Buyer beware
Milwaukee returns home after dropping four of five on the road, including a 4-2 defeat to the Cincinnati Reds as +109 underdogs Sunday afternoon, while the UNDER cashed four times in that span.

The Brewers are hoping that outfielder Ryan Braun can return to action in this spot after missing yesterday’s affair with a stiff back, especially since he’s a .290 (9 for 31) career hitter against tonight’s opposing starter.

It’s important to mention that the club is a money-making 16-8 versus southpaws during the 2014 campaign, with no edge in terms of the betting total (11-11-2 Over/Under).

Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (2-5, 2.98 ERA) will look to snap a personal two-game losing streak, which includes a 5-0 road defeat to the Miami Marlins—allowing three runs and five hits over five frames.

The left-hander is 1-3 with a 2.11 ERA in seven road games—serving up just a single home run in 47 combined innings.

In 11 lifetime outings versus the Brewers, Hamels has compiled a 6-3 record and 3.93 ERA, including a 3-1 mark and 4.12 ERA in six efforts at this ballpark.

Brewers starting pitcher Marco Estrada (7-5, 4.94 ERA) suffered a 4-1 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays last time out, as he surrendered two runs and six hits over six innings of work.

The right-hander is 4-2 with a 4.40 ERA in seven home appearances, with opposing hitters batting .223 against him.

In nine career games (three starts) versus the Phillies, Estrada has registered a 1-0 record and 6.33 ERA.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Phillies as one of their MLB picks, as the Brewers are 2-8 in Estrada’s last 10 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, while he’s also an MLB-high 26 home runs.
Pick:  Philadelphia Phillies

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