MLB Betting - 2016 World Series Pick

Chicago Cubs curse when black cat crossed field

Ross Benjamin

Monday, October 24, 2016 7:43 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 24, 2016 7:43 PM GMT

Sports handicapping professional Ross Benjamin provides us with a betting preview on the 2016 World Series. Join us in reading this revealing article which concludes with his free World Series winning MLB pick.

 

2016 World Series Prices

The “Fall Classic” gets underway on Tuesday night in Cleveland. It will pit two franchises that have gone through substantially long world championship droughts. As a matter of fact, the Cubs will be playing in their first World Series since 1945, and they’re also seeking its first world championship since 1908. Conversely, Cleveland hasn’t captured a World Series title since 1948. Current (10/24) MLB betting odds at Bovada indicates that the Cubs are a -190 money line favorite, and the Indians are at +170 to win the 2016 World Series.

 

Starting Pitching Rotations

We know Cleveland’s top 2 starting pitchers will be Corey Kluber and Josh Tomlin. Beyond that, there’s a lot of uncertainty. Trevor Bauer’s status is questionable for Game 3 dues to a cut on his pitching hand. Danny Salazar hasn’t pitched since 9/9 due to a strained forearm and is a possibility after tossing a 3.0 inning simulated game on Sunday. Then there’s rookie left-hander Ryan Merritt who was brilliant in his lone postseason start against Toronto, and it resulted in an ALCS clinching win for Cleveland.

The Cubs starting rotation is healthy, and has been widely regarded as the best in baseball all season long. 2015 National League Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta will get the nod in Game 1, and he’ll be followed by Cubs ace Jon Lester, Kyle Hendricks, and veteran John Lackey.

Big Edge: Cubs

 

Bullpens

Cleveland’s bullpen has been sensational during this postseason, evidenced by a 1.67 staff ERA, and a terrific 0.99. The combination of Chad Allen and Andrew Miller have been nothing short of phenomenal.

Chicago’s bullpen postseason numbers aren’t nearly as gaudy in direct comparison to that of Cleveland. Nevertheless, they’re very good in their own right. Chicago possesses one of the premier closers in baseball with Aroldis Chapman.

Slight Edge: Indians

 

Home/Away Splits

Both teams are extremely difficult to defeat on their home fields. Cleveland has gone a fantastic 57-28 (.671) at Progressive Field in 2016, and that includes 4-0 during the postseason. Believe it or not, the Cubs have been even better than that at iconic Wrigley Field, evidenced by their 61-25 (.709) record at home.

There’s a high probability of whichever team fares better on the road will win the 2016 World Series Title. The Cubs have been better in that regard, going 49-36 (.576) in away games, compared to Cleveland’s 44-40 (.523) road record.

Slight Edge: Cubs

 Final Analysis & 2016 World Series Pick

This has the look of a series that will go an entire 7 games. I wouldn’t be shocked to see either, or even both teams, opt for a 3-man starting rotation. That’s especially the case for Cleveland considering their injury issues. Both Joe Madden and Terry Francona are excellent mangers. Nonetheless, Francona has won 2 World Series rings as a manager with Boston. When taking all into account, Cleveland has been a tad more impressive than Chicago during postseason play.  In a very close call, I’m siding with the team owning the home field advantage in this series for one of my MLB picks.

 

Free MLB Pick: Cleveland Indians +170Best Line Offered: at Bovada, considered as one the best sportsbooks in the world

 

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