Mining the Diamond: Wednesday Fades in Our MLB Picks To Bring You Cash

Mining Diamond

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, June 14, 2017 3:18 PM GMT

Wednesday features a full slate of MLB action and mining the Diamond has scoured the board to produce two of our top MLB picks for tonight. Let’s pocket a pair of winners right now!

Brewers (34-32, +8.2 units) vs. Cardinals (30-33, -7.8 units)
  • St. Louis is 18-24 (-9.6 units) in night games this season.

  • St. Louis is 14-19 (-7.4 units) after a loss this season.

  • St. Louis is 13-17 (-8.3 units) against division opponents this season.

  • Milwaukee is 7-2 (+6.9 units) when playing on Wednesday this season.

  • Milwaukee is 23-19 (+8.6 units) in night games this season.

  • Milwaukee is 17-13 (+9.3 units) in road games this season.

The Brewers evened this four-game series last night with an 8-5 victory after dropping the opener 6-0 to St. Louis. Milwaukee is 3-2 (+1.8 units) against the Cardinals this year and the teams are fairly even in terms of talent. However, Milwaukee boasts the 7th ranked offense with 321 runs scored while St. Louis has struggled offensively, plating just 259 runs and rank 26th of the 30 major league teams.

In our minds, this matchup is much more of a coin flip but the MLB odds reflect something completely different. The Cardinals are a whopping -175 favorite and have a starting pitcher in Mike Leake with the following stats:

Leake’s team record is 4-15 (-15.7 Units) in home games over the last two seasons.

Leake’s team record is 6-16 (-14.2 Units) against division opponents over the last two seasons.

Leake’s team record is is 3-12 (-12.7 Units) in night home games over the last two seasons.

Leake’s team record is 1-10 (-10.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.

This is a genuine fade on Leake, especially considering the Cardinals are such inflated home chalk in this one. Let’s grab the juice and back the Brew Crew on Wednesday night.

Free MLB Pick: Brewers +163Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Royals (29-34, -0.9 units) vs. Giants (26-40, -15.3 units)
  • San Francisco is 1-0 (+1.0 unit) as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.

  • San Francisco is 24-7 (+9.9 units) as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last three seasons.

  • Kansas City’s starter Jason Hammel is 0-3 when starting against the Giants with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.225.

  • Kansas City’s starter Jason Hammel’s team record is 1-14 (-13.4 Units) in road games when playing on Wednesday in his career.

  • Kansas City’s starter Jason Hammel’s team record is 2-10 (-11.2 Units) in road games after a win over the last two seasons.

  • Kansas City’s starter Jason Hammel’s team record is 5-10 (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.

This game is all about the big fade on KC’s Jason Hammel. Take a look at those stats and tell me if you have confidence that the 34-year-old veteran will out-duel the Giants’ Johnny Cueto. Hammel is also 0-3 on the road with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP. I realize the Giants, like the Royals, don’t have much of an offense but the numbers are begging us to lay the lumber on San Francisco and fade Hammel and the Royals in our MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Giants -167Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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