Mining the Diamond: Two Live Dogs Howl in Our MLB Picks for Monday Night

Swinging Johnson

Monday, June 5, 2017 4:35 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 5, 2017 4:35 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond has reviewed the MLB odds and is ready to deliver its top two picks for Monday’s baseball action. Let’s start the week off right with a pair of winners tonight!

Giants (23-35, -12.6 units) vs. Brewers (30-27, +8.9 units)
  • Milwaukee is 24-19 (+9.8 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Milwaukee is 16-13 (+6.6 units) after a win this season.

  • Milwaukee’s starter Junior Guerra is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) in night games over the last two seasons.

  • San Francisco is 3-12 (-9.4 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

  • San Francisco is 14-22 (-9.9 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • San Francisco’s starter Jeff Samardzija’s team record is 1-9 (-8.8 units) when starting against the Brewers with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.326.

The Giants have lost five of their last six and now hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija who is 1-7 on the season and has had virtually no success when pitching against the Brewers as evidenced by his team’s record of 1-9 when starting against Milwaukee. On the other hand Milwaukee’s Junior Guerra has delivered two impressive performances, allowing just one run in 11 plus innings of work and owning a 1.84 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP on the year. Let’s back the home dog in our MLB picks and cash a ticket.

Free MLB Pick: Brewers +110Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Astros (41-16, +20.4 units) vs. Royals (24-31, -3.8 units)
  • Kansas City is 48-29 (+17.7 Units) in home games against right-handed starters over the last two seasons.

  • Kansas City is 65-42 (+20.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.

  • Kansas City is 66-47 (+18.0 Units) at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last three seasons.

  • Kansas City’s starter Ian Kennedy is 4-0 when starting against the Astros with an ERA of 1.01 and a WHIP of 1.050.

  • Houston’s starter Michael Fiers is 0-3 when starting against the Royals with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.782.

We can’t dispute that the Astros are the hottest team in baseball, having won 10 straight, and owners of the best record in the majors. They are an excellent club but even the best get beat, especially over the course of the 162 game regular season grind. We believe the MLB odds are tempting enough to dabble on this home dog that has a decided edge in starting pitching tonight. Ian Kennedy has dazzled when facing the Astros throughout his career while Houston’s Michael Fiers has had no luck at all against KC in his three career starts versus the Royals. The home team has more than a shot at derailing the Houston juggernaut and that’s why they will be the second of two in our MLB picks for Monday night.

Free MLB Pick: Royals +131Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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