Mining the Diamond: The Road Rules as Brewers & Nats Primed to Pounce in Sunday's MLB Picks

Harper and the Nationals for our MLB picks today

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, July 23, 2017 2:56 PM GMT

We did the splits yesterday but are determined to cash both of our MLB picks today. Let's review the pitching matchups, historical trends and prices on Sunday's  betting slate and end the week in style.

Brewers (53-47, +13.8 Units) at Phillies (33-62, -20.8 Units)

* Philadelphia is 7-26 (-18.5 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

* Philadelphia is 22-47 (-20.7 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

* Philadelphia is 18-44 (-20.4 Units) after a loss this season.

* Milwaukee is 28-23 (+9.3 Units) after a win this season.

* Milwaukee is 41-38 (+8.0 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

* Milwaukee is 9-6 (+3.6 Units) when playing on Sunday this season.

The Brewers snapped their six-game losing streak last night with a 9-8 win over the lackluster Philadelphia Phillies. Yet, Milwaukee still made last night's victory a nail-biter after jumping out to a 6-0 advantage but allowed the Phillies to claw their way back in until the Brewers' Domingo Santana singled in the winning run. Today looks like a repeat of yesterday only the Brewers won't make you reach for the antacid this time.

The Phillies have the worst record in the league and are trotting out a pitcher in Jerad Eickhoff whose team record is 3-13 (-10.4 Units) in all games this season and owns a 0-2 record against the Brewers with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.50. He will be opposed by Junior Guerra whose team record is  11-5 (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last two seasons.

But most importantly, the Brewers' Ryan Braun did yesterday to the Phillies what he has been doing his entire career to the City of Brotherly Love, and that is tearing it to pieces. Braun was 3-for-3 with a single, double and a home run and collected four RBI on the evening. The six-time All-Star and former NL MVP is batting .379 with 22 homers and 61 RBI in 65 games against Philadelphia, including a .398 average in his 30 games at Citizens Bank Park. Let's watch Braun lead an offensive barrage against Philadelphia's back of the rotation pitcher Jerad Eickhoff and back the Brew Crew in our MLB picks.

MLB Picks: Brewers +106Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Nationals (58-38, +1.6 Units) at Diamondbacks (56-41, +13.0 Units)

* Arizona's starter Robbie Ray's career team record is 14-29 (-16.9 Units) after a loss.

* Arizona's starter Robbie Ray is 0-3 when starting against the Nationals with an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.44.

* Arizona is 6-10 (-5.0 Units) in July games this season.

* Washington is 23-9 (+14.2 Units) in road games after a win this season.

* Washington is 18-11 (+7.6 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

* Washington is 6-2 (+3.1 Units) against the Diamondbacks in games played in Arizona over the last three seasons.

The rubber game looms today in this three-game set as the Nats evened up the series with a 4-3 win over the Diamondbacks on Friday night. The MLB odds reflect a virtual toss-up in this series finale but the trends and pitching matchups clearly favor the visiting Nationals. Robbie Ray is winless in his three meetings with Washington and totes a 4-3 record with a 4.62 ERA at home this season while the Nationals' Stephen Strasburg owns a sterling 7-1 road mark with a 2.45 ERA in nine trips on the highway this season.

Let's take full advantage of what we feel are odds too good to pass up on the travelin' Nats.

MLB Picks: Nationals -103Best Line Offered: at JustBet