Mining the Diamond: Road Teams Rule on Monday Night MLB Picks

St. Louis Cardinals players gathered around

Swinging Johnson

Monday, May 8, 2017 2:51 PM GMT

Monday, May. 8, 2017 2:51 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond returns with a pair of MLB picks based on historical trends and pitching matchups while finding value based on the odds. Let’s look at our two featured plays for Monday night and cash those tickets!

Cardinals (16-14, -0.8 units) vs. Marlins (13-17, -4.3 units)
  • Miami is 30-36 (-15.0 Units) in home games in night games over the last two seasons.

  • Miami is 67-85 (-26.1 Units) against right-handed starters over the last two seasons.

  • Miami is 0-3 (-3.4 units) in Monday games this season.

  • Miami is 53-65 (-16.8 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

  • St. Louis is 55-39 (+19.3 Units) in road games over the last two seasons.

  • St. Louis is 32-20 (+13.0 Units) in road games after a win over the last two seasons.

  • St. Louis is 9-2 (+6.1 units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

  • St. Louis is 71-51 (+20.9 Units) in road games in night games over the last three seasons.

The Cardinals soar into Miami after sweeping a three-game set over the Braves and looking to continue their winning streak against a Marlins’ team that snapped a three-game skid with a 7-0 win over the Mets yesterday. St. Louis is 5-2 (+3.9 units) when playing the Marlins in Miami over the last three seasons and that should improve tonight as their starting pitcher Carlos Martinez is coming off a dazzling outing against the Brewers in his last start where he pitched seven-plus shutout innings and allowed just four hits en route to a 2-1 victory. Conversely, Miami starter Adam Conley has gotten walloped recently as evidenced by his 8.31 ERA and 1.84 WHIP over his last three starts. Let’s back the road chalk in our MLB picks and watch the Cards win their fourth straight.

 Free MLB Pick: Cardinals -119Best Line Offered: at BetPhoenix

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3139239, "sportsbooksIds":[1389,1252,999996,180,19], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]​

 

Indians (17-13, -3.9 units) vs. Blue Jays (11-20, -11.2 units)
  • Toronto is 6-15 (-12.4 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

  • Toronto is 20-25 (-16.1 Units) at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Toronto’s starter Marcus Stroman is 7-15 (-16.9 Units) in night games over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

  • Cleveland is 34-19 (+13.1 Units) on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Cleveland is 67-33 (+23.3 Units) in all games when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Cleveland is 6-2 (+3.6 units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Toronto’s Marcus Stroman’s team record when facing the Indians throughout his career is 0-3 (-4.1 units) and the veteran right-hander is coming off arguably his worst start when he was batted around for five runs on six hits by the Yankees and left in the third inning with arm issues. We will concede that Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer was roughed up as well in his last start against the Tigers when he surrendered seven runs on seven hits in just four innings of work.

However, Cleveland’s bullpen has been stellar this season with a 1.83 ERA versus a 5.06 home ERA for the Blue Jays and we don’t see much of a threat from a Toronto offense that ranks just 26th of 30 in the majors. The oddsmakers have the wrong favorite here but we will happily take the slight return in backing the Tribe tonight.

 Free MLB Pick: Indians +106Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3141144, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1275,300,180,93], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]​

comment here