Mining the Diamond: Road Teams Rule on Monday in Our MLB Picks

Detroit Tigers

Monday, May 22, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond has reviewed the MLB odds, pitching matchups and historical trends and has uncovered two top plays for Monday’s baseball betting action.

Pirates (20-24, -2.1 units) vs. Braves (18-23, -1.5 units)
  • Atlanta is 7-16 (-9.0 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

  • Atlanta is 7-15 (-6.5 units) after a loss this season.

  • Atlanta is 25-48 (-21.1 Units) in home games in night games over the last two seasons.

  • Pittsburgh is 56-39 (+20.2 Units) in road games after a win over the last three seasons.

  • Pittsburgh is 3-0 (+3.0 units) against Atlanta this season.

  • Pittsburgh’s starter Gerrit Cole’s team’s record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) when starting against the Braves with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.344.

This game is a tale of two pitchers. Gerrit Cole has sparkled on the mound for the Pirates this season, owning a 2.84 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. Unfortunately, a lack of offensive production has his record at 2-4 for the year. However, Cole has a 2.25 ERA and is a perfect 5-0 in his five career starts against the Braves.

Conversely, Atlanta’s starter Mike Foltynewicz is 0-3 when starting against the Pirates with an ERA of 8.25 and a WHIP of 1.91. The Bucs are 3-0 against the Braves this season and have won six of their last eight games while Atlanta is coming off a loss to the Nationals on Sunday. Let’s back the road chalk here in our MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Pirates -120Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3141415, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,123,19,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 

Tigers (21-21, -0.2 units) vs. Astros (29-15, +10.1 units)
  • Houston is 0-3 (-3.55 units) in its last three games.

  • Houston is averaging 4.3 runs at home, almost a full run less than on the road.

  • Houston’s starter Brad Peacock has yet to start a game this season.

  • Detroit is 12-8 (+4.1 units) after a loss this season.

  • Detroit is 2-0 when playing on Mondays this season.

  • Detroit’s starter Michael Fulmer’s team record is 14-3 (+10.9 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Detroit’s starter Michael Fulmer’s team record is 14-6 (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last two seasons.

The MLB odds makers are giving us too much value on Michael Fulmer and the Detroit Tigers to ignore. Fulmer is rapidly developing into one of the premier pitchers in baseball but has flown under the radar due to his short tenure in the league and the fact that his team failed to make the postseason in 2016, his rookie season, and are a middling 21-21 this year.

Let’s also not forget that his counter number, Brad Peacock, has yet to start a game this season with all of his previous outings coming in relief. In addition, the Astros starting catcher Brian McCann is on the shelf for seven days after suffering a concussion against the Indians on May 19th.  Let’s grab the nice price and cash a ticket with the road dogs here.

Free MLB Pick: Tigers +124Best Line Offered: at BetPhoenix

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3140759, "sportsbooksIds":[1389,93,19,123,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]