Mining the Diamond: Revenge in the Desert Gets the Cash in Sunday's MLB Pick

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, September 10, 2017 3:06 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 10, 2017 3:06 PM UTC

We hope you tailed us yesterday as we cashed both our MLB picks with the Red Sox on the run line and doubled the fun with the Phillies as a big underdog winner over the Nationals. Let's continue to build our bankroll with our lone play for Sunday.

Padres (65-78, +8.0 Units) at Diamondbacks (82-60, +18.8 Units

* Arizona is 36-22 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

* Arizona is 45-25 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

* Arizona is 37-25 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.

* San Diego is 48-92 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last three seasons.

* San Diego is 13-34 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last two seasons.

* San Diego is 3-9 (-5.2 Units) after three or more consecutive wins.

Funny things happen during the long grind that is the Major League Baseball season and a few of them occurred over the last few days in the desert. The Padres surprised the Snakes in the first game of this three-game series when they slugged their way to a 10-6 win. But if that was a surprise, last night was a sure-fire stunner when San Diego tallied six runs in the ninth inning to steal a miraculous 8-7 victory. Miracles don't happen often and although characterizing a San Diego sweep in the sweltering heat of Arizona as such would be a bit of a stretch it would, at the very least, be highly improbable.

The giddiness in the San Diego clubhouse will come to a screeching halt today as Arizona's Robbie Ray has been a veritable ATM in our MLB picks recently. The 25-year-old southpaw has been dazzling as of late with a 3-0 record, a 0.93 ERA and a micro 0.67 WHIP. While we normally concern ourselves exclusively with statistics and allow the public to craft their own stories about revenge, emotion and teams "getting up" for certain games, there is undoubtedly something to be said for that this afternoon as no team will take a stunning loss like that laying down. That kind of defeat sticks in your craw, prevents you from sleeping and gives you all the motivation in the world to atone for it and move on.

That said, the D-Backs have won nine games against the Padres this season and eight of those wins were by a margin of two runs or more. The MLB odds are simply too high to lay on the money line, therefore we will wager on the run line and watch Arizona cruise in this one and avoid the sweep at the hands of the lowly Padres.

Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks - 1 ½ (-115)Best Line Offered: at Intertops
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