Mining the Diamond: Red Birds and Rangers Rule the Road on Saturday Night

Joey Gallos

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, May 6, 2017 3:28 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 6, 2017 3:28 PM GMT

There's a full slate of Saturday baseball action and Mining the Diamond reviews all the matchups and then locks on to the two premium MLB picks of the day. Let's take a look at what we have after perusing the MLB odds and narrowing down our selections.

Cardinals (14-14, -3.0 units) vs. Braves (11-16, -3.4 units)

* Atlanta is 4-11 (-6.1 units) after a loss this season.

* Atlanta is 79-124 (-20.2 units) after a loss over the past three seasons.

* Atlanta's starter Julio Teheran is 1-9 (-9.0 Units) at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

* Atlanta's starter Julio Teheran  6-19 (-14.0 Units) in night games over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

* St. Louis is 53-39 (+17.2 Units) in road games over the last two seasons.

* St. Louis is 40-27 (+16.6 Units) in road games against right-handed starters over the last two seasons.

* St. Louis starter Mike Leake is 4-2 when starting against the Braves with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 1.024.

The Cardinals are coming off a 10-0 demolition of the Braves last night and are facing the mercurial Atlanta pitcher Julio Teheran who has been both brilliant and abysmal at times this season. But the numbers are telling us this is a spot where he will be the latter, as he was in his last outing when he allowed six earned runs on six hits in a 7-5 loss to the Mets. The Cards counter with Mike Leake who has been blazing this season with a 3-1 record, a 1.35 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. The veteran hurler is 4-2 when starting against the Braves over his career with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 1.024. Let's back the big, booming bats of St. Louis coupled with the pitching advantage, as one of our MLB picks tonight.

MLB Pick: Cardinals +104Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Rangers (13-17, -4.4 units) vs. Seattle (13-17, -3.6 units)

* Seattle is 54-72 (-22.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

* Seattle is 49-69 (-24.5 Units) against left-handed starters over the last three seasons.

* Seattle's starter Chase De Jong is 0-2 with an 11.05 ERA and a 2.32 WHIP.

* Texas is 71-55 (+26.2 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

* Texas is 38-25 (+24.2 Units) in May games over the last three seasons.

* Texas is 20-10 (+10.3 Units) when playing on Saturday over the last two seasons.

The Rangers captured a 3-1 victory over the Mariners last night in their series opener and you can bet Texas is looking for a measure of revenge after getting swept by Seattle last month. After perusing the MLB odds I was struck by the fact that Texas is installed as the underdog in this matchup. My opinion is based primarily on the trials and travails of Seattle starter Chase De Jong who is clearly not ready to make the Major League leap this season. The 23-year-old lasted just over two innings in his last appearance when the Indians lit him up for six runs on nine hits in his only start this season.

I believe the Rangers have a much better chance with southpaw Martin Perez getting the start, who is 5-2 and owns a 3.32 ERA in his career starts against the Mariners. Texas will knock De Jong out early and that will put the Mariners at a big disadvantage as their bullpen is nothing to boast about with a combined 5.71 ERA this year. Let's go with the Lone Star kids in this one.

MLB Pick: Rangers +101Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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