Mining the Diamond: One Live Dog & Chalky Home Fave in our Top Selections

Pittsburgh Pirates player Starling Marte

Swinging Johnson

Monday, April 17, 2017 5:00 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 17, 2017 5:00 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond is a daily feature where we mine stats and historical trends for each game on the MLB slate in order to deliver our top MLB picks.

Pirates (6-6, +0.5 units) vs. Cardinals (3-9, -6.8 units)
  • St. Louis is 1-7 when the total is 8.0-8.5.

  • St. Louis is 1-6 in night games.

  • St. Louis is 2-4 against division opponents.

  • St. Louis is 2-6 after a loss.

  • Pittsburgh is 5-2 against right-handed starters.

  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 after a win.

  • Pittsburgh is 108-73 over the last three seasons (59.6%)

  • Pittsburgh is 3-0 vs. St. Louis this season.

This will be Ivan Nova’s (1-1, 2.25 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) career debut against the Cardinals but if he can replicate his efforts in his season debut against Atlanta when he pitched six full innings and allowed just one earned run in his team’s 5-4 victory then the Pirates will be cashing in tonight’s road contest. St. Louis will send Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23 ERA, 1.45 WHIP) to the hill and we hope he can duplicate his efforts in his last start when he got tagged for six runs in five innings of work en route to an 8-5 loss. Lynn is 5-6 when starting against the Pirates in his career with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.531.

 Free MLB Pick: Pirates +124 Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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Padres (5-8, -0.2 units) vs. Braves (5-6, -0.1 units)
  • Atlanta is 3-0 at home this season.

  • Atlanta is 8-2 against San Diego over the last 10 meetings.

  • Atlanta is 3-1 after a win.

  • Atlanta is 3-0 vs. San Diego this season.

  • San Diego is 3-7 on the road this season.

  • San Diego is 0-3 on the road when the total is 8.0-8.5.

  • San Diego is 2-4 against a team with a losing record.

  • San Diego is 0-2 when Jered Weaver starts this season.

The oddsmakers are asking us to lay a big price on southpaw Jaime Garcia (0-1, 5.73 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) and the Atlanta Braves but we believe it is worth the risk. Though we don’t make a living out of betting high priced favorites in our MLB picks, sometimes you have to think outside the box when the matchup dictates the play. The Braves are 3-0 this season against the Padres and looking to sweep the series at Sun Trust Park. Though Garcia hasn’t overwhelmed this season he has historically fared well against San Diego with a 4-2 team record and a 2.52 ERA. San Diego’s Dream Weaver has never pitched against Atlanta but both his outings have resulted in losses this season and we see another one on the way.

 

Free MLB Pick: Braves -159Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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