Mining the Diamond: On the Road Again – Bucs and BoSox Best Bets in Friday’s MLB Picks

Friday, September 15, 2017 2:31 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 15, 2017 2:31 PM UTC

We cashed both of our MLB picks yesterday with the Yankees covering the -1 ½ (+105) on the run line in a 13-5 dismantling of the Baltimore Orioles and we also cashed with the Twins on the money line over the Blue Jays. Let’s keep this money train rolling with our two top selections on Friday night’s card.

Pirates (68-79, -9.2 Units) at Reds (63-84, -9.7 units)
  • Cincinnati is 30-38 (-4.9 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
  • Cincinnati is 41-53 (-5.4 Units) in night games this season.
  • Cincinnati is 35-47 (-3.7 Units) after a loss this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 30-26 (+4.6 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 19-15 (+2.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
  • Pittsburgh’s starter Chad Kuhl is 1-0 when starting against the Reds with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.

Pittsburgh has won five of their last seven meetings with Cincinnati and will win this one as well. There is no doubt the Pirates have been slumping, having lost seven of their last eight but that’s why God created teams like the Reds – to halt just such a streak. Chad Kuhl has been at his best recently, with a 1-1 record and a 1.96 ERA. His lone start against the Reds came six weeks ago when he blanked the Cincinnati through seven innings, allowing just four hits, in a 6-0 Pirates’ win.

On the other hand, Cincinnati’s Homer Bailey has an ERA just a click above 5.00 over his last three and a 0-2 mark to boot. But perhaps even more pertinent is Bailey’s disastrous starts when he pitches at the Great American Ball Park. The veteran right-hander is 0-5 at home with an 8.91 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP. Let’s back the Bucs in our MLB picks at a price that we simply cannot refuse.

Free MLB Pick: Pirates -102Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Red Sox (83-63, +2.8 Units) at Rays (72-75, -4.8 Units)
  • Tampa Bay is 73-80 (-20.7 Units) in home games over the last two seasons.
  • Tampa Bay is 18-31 (-14.4 Units) when playing on Friday over the last two seasons.
  • Tampa Bay is 16-26 (-9.2 Units) against left-handed starters this season.
  • Boston is 66-46 (+8.7 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
  • Boston is 62-43 (+7.9 Units) in night games this season.
  • Boston’s starter Chris Sale is 8-5 when starting against the Rays with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.93.

Two words – Chris Sale. That’s all you need to know about this matchup as the lefty superstar is back on track after a hiccup in August. Sale’s last two starts against Tampa Bay were sublime, blanking the Rays in both contests and allowing a grand total of eight hits over 14 innings of work. Sale is 2-1 over his last three starts with a 1.56 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Conversely, Tampa Bay’s starter Matt Andriese is 0-2 with a 14.08 ERA and a 2.48 WHIP. Let’s not overthink this one or get timid because of the lofty MLB odds on this chalky road favorite. Lay it and like it - then cash it!

Free MLB Pick: Red Sox -188Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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