Mining the Diamond: Nats & Redbirds Set to Crush in Saturday's MLB Picks

Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright in action

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, May 27, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 27, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond has cashed six of its last eight picks and is looking to add two more winners on Saturday. Let's review the MLB odds, historical trends and pitching matchups to continue to pad our bankroll.

Padres (18-32, -10.4 units ) vs. Nationals (29-18, +2.8 units)

* Washington is 13-8 (+2.2 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

* Washington is 15-8 (+1.7 units) at home this season.

* Washington is 18-11 (+2.7 units) after a win this season.

* San Diego is 5-15 (-9.9 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

* San Diego is 9-17 (-7.3 units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

* San Diego is 7-16 (-8.8 units) in May this season.

They say there's nothin' sweeter than a repeater and that's exactly what we have in mind today as we will go back to the same garden that bore fruit last night. We included Washington over San Diego in our MLB picks Friday evening but the money line was so steep that we had to begrudgingly shift to a run line wager, which we are not fond of doing. However, the disparity in offenses between these two clubs is about as severe as you can hope for when laying 1 ½ runs. The Nationals own the top scoring offense in baseball while the Padres are mired near the cellar. Washington has a +56 run differential (4th) while San Diego clocks in at dead last in the league with a -93.

If that doesn't convince you that laying a run and a half is safe in this circumstance then consider that Nats' starter Stephen Strasburg is 5-1 when starting against the Padres with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.167 while his counter number Clayton Richard's team record is 1-5 (-4.6 units) versus Washington. Strasburg lost his first meeting against San Diego back in 2012 but since then Washington has defeated the Padres by two runs or more in his last five appearances against them. Back the home dog with the big bats and lay the 1 ½ runs.

 

Free MLB Pick: Nationals -1½ (-105)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Cardinals (23-22, -2.6 units) vs. Rockies (32-18, +16.8 units)

* Colorado is 4-5 (-1.5 units) at home when the total is 11 to 11.5 this season.

* Colorado's bullpen has a 5.54 ERA at home this season.

* Colorado is 80-103 (+0.1 units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.

* St. Louis is 9-5 (+3.9 units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

* St. Louis is 45-34 (+6.7 units) in May games over the last three seasons.

* St. Louis is 34-24 (+4.2 units) when playing on Saturday over the last three seasons.

The reason the MLB odds are what they are in this contest is that the Rockies positively waxed the Cardinals by the score of 10-0 last night. The squares will immediately look to bet the Rockies to do it all over again because they are the home team with the better record and of course St. Louis is so emotionally shattered by that one atrocious game that comprises a 162 game season that they may not even show up for work today.

Well, that's why we're sharp and the public gets pounded day after day and season after season. Allow me to introduce St. Louis's starter Adam Wainwright into the conversation.

- Adam Wainwright's team record is 44-26 (+18.0 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over his career.

- Adam Wainwright's team record is 84-51 (+25.9 Units) in road games since over his career.

- Adam Wainwright's team record is 85-42 (+28.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over his career.

Not only are those stats compelling but the coup de grace is that Wainwright is 8-1 versus Colorado over his career with a stellar ERA of 1.81 and a WHIP of 1.105. Bet the road dog in this one.  

 

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals +103Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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