Mining the Diamond MLB Picks: Tuesday, May 2nd

Royals pitcher Danny Duffy

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, May 2, 2017 2:58 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 2, 2017 2:58 PM GMT

Tuesday night features a full slate of games and Mining the Diamond peruses each and every one of the matchups to deliver consistent winners in your MLB picks. Let’s take a look at our two premium plays for tonight.

Diamondbacks (16-11, +6.6 units) vs. Nationals (17-8, +5.2 units)
  • Washington is 3-0 (+3.0 units) when playing on a Tuesday this season.

  • Washington is 3-0 (+3.0 units) when playing with a day off this season.

  • Washington is 17-7 (+6.2 units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Arizona is 18-36 (-18.5 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Arizona is 63-101 (-22.1 units) when playing against a winning team over the last three seasons.

  • Arizona is 54-74 (-21.0 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

These NL powerhouses will meet for the first time this season and the home team Nationals look to cash in our MLB picks tonight. Washington has Tanner Roark (3-0, 3.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) who owns a 0.89 WHIP at home this season and an offense that has scored more runs than any other team in the majors. At home, the Nats are averaging 6.9 runs against right-handed starters and 6.5 runs at home against a D-Backs team averaging just 3.1 runs on the road with a bullpen owning a 5.32 ERA on the highway. Lay the price and back the Nats.

 

Free MLB Pick: Nationals -131Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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White Sox (13-11, +6.5 units) vs. Royals (8-16, -8.2 units)
  • Kansas City is 57-35 (+18.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.

  • Kansas City’s starter Danny Duffy is 21-7 (+11.9 Units) home games over the last three seasons. (Team's Record)

  • Kansas City is 111-70 (+28.7 Units) in home games over the last three seasons.

  • Kansas City is 6-1 (+6.3 units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

  • Chicago’s starter Jose Quintana is 14-26 (-15.1 Units) against division opponents over the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

  • Chicago is 76-97 (-23.3 units) against division opponents over the last three seasons.

  • Chicago is 26-45 (-12.6 units) on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

Let’s understand that the Royals’ offense has been anemic this season, scoring just 69 runs in the year and in dead last in that category. That is the bad news but the good news is we have a serious pitching mismatch with Danny Duffy (2-1, 2.81 ERA, 1.22 WHIP) on the hill versus Chicago’s Jose Quintana (1-4, 5.22 ERA, 1.47 WHIP). Quintana’s starts have consistently landed as losses for his team when he opposes KC as evidenced by his 6-17 (-12.8 units) team record against the Royals.

Kansas City’s Danny Duffy owns a team record of 11-4 (+7.0 units) versus the White Sox and will look to redeem himself after an uncharacteristically rough start in his last outing against Chicago just a week ago. Let’s back the Royals at small number being hung by the oddsmakers, coming off a 6-1 win last night in their series opener.

 

Free MLB Pick: Royals -114Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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