Mining the Diamond: LA State of Mind in Sunday's MLB Picks

Mining The Diamond

Craig Tattan

Sunday, August 6, 2017 1:30 PM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 6, 2017 1:30 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond has now won its last four selections and turns to Sunday's baseball betting slate to wrap up the week in style. Let's discuss our two premier MLB picks and cash those tickets!

Dodgers (78-32, +29.6 Units) at Mets (49-59, -17.9 Units)

* New York is 25-30 (-14.2 Units) in home games this season.

* New York is 25-34 (-12.4 Units) after a loss this season.

* New York is 10-27 (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

* Los Angeles is 55-22 (+21.8 Units) after a win this season.

* Los Angeles is 30-9 (+15.3 Units) after three or more consecutive wins this season.

* Los Angeles is 40-12 (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

The LA Dodgers are so hot they're getting historic. After last night's 7-4 win over the Mets, Big Blue delivered their 43rd victory over their past 50 games, which qualifies as the best 50-game stretch by a major league team since the 1912 New York Giants. Oh, and we also had them -1 ½ runs (-110) as one of our two MLB picks on Saturday. As they say, there's nothin' sweetah' than a repeatah' which is why we will back them again today.

Los Angeles is 6-0 versus New York this season and tonight they will trot Hyun-Jin Ryu to the mound where he has sparkled recently. Over Ryu's last three starts he has a 2.04 ERA in almost 18 innings of work, and over his career has a team record of 4-0 (4.0 Units) with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 1.16 versus the Mets. His counter number Steven Matz brings a 0-1 mark and a bloated 8.31 ERA with a 2.00 WHIP over his last three outings.

Unlike yesterday, today's MLB odds are palatable enough where we won't have to tempt fate and lay the run line. We spy a weak number at Intertops which will allow us to get down on LA at -153 which we see as a bargain in this one. Lay it and like it.

MLB Picks: Dodgers -153Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Athletics(49-62, -9.4 Units) at Angels (55-56, +5.7 Units)

* Los Angeles is 55-24 (+21.3 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last three seasons.

* Los Angeles is 31-24 (+13.5 Units) after a loss this season.

* Los Angeles is are 22-10 (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.

* Oakland is 45-75 (-23.0 Units) against division opponents over the last two seasons.

* Oakland is 52-71 (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.

* Oakland is 9-20 (-11.0 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.

The Angels had their four-game winning streak snapped last night courtesy of a 5-0 setback to the Athletics. However, it's a new day and the Halos have Ricky Nolasco on the bump this afternoon, who has pitched well in his three starts against the A's this season with a 1-1 mark and a 2.93 ERA. On the flipside, Sean Manaea has a team record of 0-4 (-4.2 Units) with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.20 in his four career starts versus Los Angeles. But here's the coup de grace, Manaea's team record is 0-10 (-10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.

I'd say we have a pitching mismatch here. In backing the Angels we get the team with the edge in that mismatch plus home field advantage plus the better season record and all for laying -120. Ah yeah, count me in.

MLB Picks: Angels -120Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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