Mining the Diamond: Home Chalk Rules in Tuesday Night’s MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, June 6, 2017 4:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 6, 2017 4:01 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond is daily MLB picks column that analyzes the pitching matchups, historical trends and odds to deliver to top plays each and every day. Let’s cash with a pair of winners on Tuesday night!

Marlins (24-32, -8.4 units) vs. Cubs (29-27, -10.3 units)
  • Chicago is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in June.

  • Chicago is 7-2 (+4.2 units) when playing on Tuesday this season.

  • Chicago is 147-89 (+27.3 units) when playing at night over the last three seasons.

  • Miami is 0-4 (-4.0 units) as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.

  • Miami is 14-25 (-12.0 units) in night games this season.

  • Miami is 19-27 (-9.6 units) against right-handed starters this season.

The world champs have hovered around .500 this season yet still lead the weak NL Central as the season rounds into June. However, that middling trend appears to have expired as Chicago has now won four straight with a fifth victory in the crosshairs. Cubs’ starter Jake Arrieta got hit hard in the early going but recently he has found his groove churning out a 2.50 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over his last three appearances. His counter number is Jeff Locke who made his 2017 debut last week, pitching five plus innings of one run ball in a 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks. However, Locke’s team record against the Cubs is 3-7 (-6.3 units) with an ERA of 6.27 and a WHIP of 1.52. Chicago is 6-1 versus Miami over the past seven games played at Wrigley.

Yes, the MLB odds are high on the Cubs but truth be told, they should be even higher as Arrieta boasts a 1-0 record when starting against the Marlins with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.692. Lay the lumber on the chalky home favorite and cash that ticket!

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -192Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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Angels (29-31, -3.4 units) vs. Tigers (28-28, -0.6 units)
  • Detroit is 3-0 (+3.2 units) at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.

  • Detroit is 26-16 (+11.0 units) when playing with a day off over the last three seasons.

  • Detroit is 98-86 (+10.8 units) after a win over the last three seasons.

  • Los Angeles is 1-8 (-6.7 units) as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

  • Los Angeles is 81-111 (-20.6 units) in road games over the last three seasons.

  • Los Angeles’ starter Jesse Chavez is 0-3 (-3.4 units) when starting against the Tigers with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.526.

The Tigers won their series with the Royals and proceeded to sweep the White Sox which gives them a four-game winning streak as they prepare for a three-game set with the Angels. Conversely, LA is struggling along with just one win in their last four outings in addition to losing their superstar Mike Trout for the short term with a thumb injury. The Tigers are knocking the cover off the ball over their four-game winning streak, averaging 9.5 runs per game and have a serviceable pitcher in Daniel Norris in the box today. Let’s watch the Cats knock the halos off the Angels and include Detroit in our MLB picks on Tuesday night.

Free MLB Pick: Tigers -148Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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