Mining the Diamond: Home Chalk Cashes in Thursday’s MLB Picks

mining diamond

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, August 3, 2017 3:22 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 3, 2017 3:22 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond turns its attention to Thursday’s baseball slate of games and delivers our two top MLB picks to add to your bankroll. 

Tigers (49-57, -7.5 Units) at Orioles (53-54, +9.8 Units)
  • Baltimore is 33-21 (+11.1 Units) in home games this season.
  • Baltimore is 30-22 (+8.8 Units) after a win this season.
  • Baltimore is 59-28 (+22.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last three seasons.
  • Detroit is 19-28 (-11.1 Units) after a win this season.
  • Detroit is 32-44 (-11.6 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
  • Detroit is 27-42 (-15.2 Units) in night games this season.

The Orioles have reeled off five straight wins as they welcome the Tigers to Camden Yards for this four-game set. In addition, they have Chris Tillman on the bump, who has some impressive trends working in his favor. Here are a few:

  • Tillman’s team record is 27-18 (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last two seasons.
  • Tillman’s team record is 63-40 (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1997.
  • Tillman’s team record is 79-61 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
  • Tillman’s team record is 63-46 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
  • Tillman is 7-0 when starting against the Tigers with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.021.

Let’s back the trendy pitcher on the white-hot team and back the Orioles in our MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick: Orioles -133Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Phillies (39-66, -18.7 Units) at Angels (53-55, +5.4 Units)
  • Los Angeles is 53-23 (+21.1 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last three seasons.
  • Los Angeles is 20-9 (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.
  • Los Angeles’ starting pitcher Parker Bridwell’s team record is 7-1 (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
  • Philadelphia is 27-51 (-19.6 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
  • Philadelphia is 20-46 (-20.4 Units) after a loss this season.
  • Philadelphia is 16-38 (-14.2 Units) in road games this season.

The Angels have been decent at home with a 29-23 (+4.5 Units), while the Phillies haven’t been good at home or on the highway. Tonight they bring their 16-38 (-14.2 Units) road mark to bear as they try to avoid a series sweep. The Angels have outscored the Phillies 14-1 over the first two games and this will be more of the same. LA’s Parker Bridwell brings a 2-0 record and a stellar 2.18 ERA complemented by an equally gaudy 0.82 WHIP over his last three outings.

The MLB odds are a bit tough to swallow on a team that is barely below .500 on the season but when considering their opponent tonight; it’s not that tough at all. Lay the lumber on the home chalk here.

Free MLB Pick: Angels -158Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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