Mining The Diamond for Two Thursday MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:36 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 22, 2017 4:36 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond is an MLB picks column that researches the pitching matchups, historical trends and odds to deliver two premium piays each day. Let’s scout Thursday’s baseball action and cash those tickets!

Cubs (36-35, -13.2 units) vs. Marlins (32-38, -6.2 units)
  • Miami is 20-27 (-6.7 units) in night games this season.

  • Miami is 26-31 (-5.1 units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Miami is 11-15 (-2.2 units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

  • Chicago is 5-1 (+3.1 units) when playing on Thursday this season.

  • Chicago’s starter Jake Arrieta’s team record is 19-3 (+14.5 Units) as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons.

  • Chicago’s starter Jake Arrieta is 2-0 when starting against the Marlins with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.73.

The baseball world is waiting for the defending World Series champs to break loose from their middling ways this season. The Cubs are now a game over .500 and won three straight before stumbling in a 3-2 loss to the Padres last night. Jake Arrieta is emblematic of Chicago’s woes this season, morphing from a Cy Young Award winner just two seasons ago, to a merely serviceable pitcher in 2017. But the metrics on Arietta are positive and show him trending in the right direction. He has been stellar against the Marlins in his three starts with a 1.42 ERA and a micro 0.73 WHIP. We look for more of the same tonight while the Marlins give the ball to the Fade Master himself, Jeff Locke. The Marlins have lost all four of Locke’s starts this year and the veteran southpaw is 1-4 when starting against the Cubs with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.544. Let’s back the road chalk in our MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Cubs (-126)Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Tigers (32-39, -8.7 units) vs. Mariners (37-37, +1.3 units)
  • Seattle is 56-76 (-24.9 Units) against left-handed starters over the last three seasons.

  • Seattle is 46-54 (-23.7 Units) in home games after a win over the last three seasons.

  • Seattle is 16-22 (-7.0 units) when playing on Thursday over the last three seasons.

  • Detroit’s starter Daniel Norris’s team record is 7-1 (+8.7 Units) on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last two seasons.

  • Detroit’s starter Daniel Norris’s team record is 11-4 (+10.4 Units) in road games in night games over the last three seasons.

  • Detroit’s starter Daniel Norris’s team record is 6-0 (+8.0 Units) after three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons.

The Mariners are looking to break out their brooms and sweep the Tigers right out of Seattle tonight but we believe Detroit’s starter Daniel Norris will have something to say about that. The numbers are telling us he is in prime position to render a victory, particularly when we consider that Seattle is trotting out a 23-year-old rookie making his MLB debut in Andrew Moore. The MLB odds makers are counting on the public to fade Detroit because of their previous three losses to Seattle but we like the way this game is matching up. Grab the road pup here.

Editor's Note: For a Compelling Reason To Eat Some Chalk and Make a ML PLay on the Mariners, Click Here - MLB Picks of the Day

Free MLB Pick: Tigers (+115)Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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