Mining the Diamond: Fish Tame Phillies While Rockies Hugely Undervalued in Our MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, May 31, 2017 3:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 31, 2017 3:19 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond is set to review the MLB odds, pitching matchups, and historical trends in order to deliver its top two premium plays for Wednesday night’s MLB action.

Phillies (17-33, -13 units) vs. Marlins (20-30, -10.4 units)
  • Miami is 2-0 versus Philadelphia this season.

  • Miami’s starter Daniel Straily’s team record is 11-1 (+13.2 Units) in day games over the last two seasons.

  • Miami’s starter Daniel Straily’s team record is 16-6 (+12.2 Units) in day games over the last two seasons.

  • Philadelphia is 12-26 (-12.4 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Philadelphia is 6-21 (-14.2 Units) in May games this season.

  • Philadelphia is 3-10 (-5.4 units) as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

Phillies’ starter Aaron Nola has gotten roughed up in two of his last three outings manifesting in a 5.00 ERA over that time. Nola got whacked around for five runs on six hits in his last performance against the Reds resulting in a 5-2 setback for Philadelphia. Conversely, we have Marlins’ starter Daniel Straily who has thrived at home as evidenced by his 2.46 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. The last time, and only time, he has faced the Phillies was last season when he blanked Philadelphia through five innings and got the win in Miami’s 9-4 victory.

The MLB odds are starting climb on the home team and with good reason. Philly has lost its last three games while the Marlins have done just the opposite and notched wins in their last three. These are not good teams but Miami has a decided advantage in this one and we will exploit that edge by including the Marlins in our MLB picks for Wednesday night.

Free MLB Pick: Marlins -126Best Line Offered: at

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 Rockies (33-21, +13.9 units) vs. Mariners (24-29, -4.0 units)
  • Seattle is 14-21 (-7.6 units) in night games this season.

  • Seattle is 60-77 (-22.5 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

  • Seattle is 38-43 (-23.8 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last three seasons.

  • Colorado is 18-8 (+12.2 Units) in road games this season.

  • Colorado is 14-6 (+8.3 Units) after a loss this season.

  • Colorado is 8-2 (+6.6 units) on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

I am more than happy to take the huge return we are getting on the 33-21 Rockies over the 24-29 Mariners. Is Seattle’s starter James Paxton the second coming of Felix Hernandez? Sure he’s been terrific at home this season but he’s been on the DL for close to a month and makes his return tonight. How will he fare after nearly 30 days on the shelf? In addition, Seattle’s DH Nelson Cruz strained his calf last night yet should be available today but how potent will he be with the leg injury? I remind you that Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela is not chopped liver with a 7-1 mark on the season and a 3.19 ERA. This is big time value and we will happily take every cent the oddsmakers are giving us to back this unlikely road dog.

Free MLB Pick: Rockies +167Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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