Mining the Diamond: Division Leaders Rule on Thursday Night’s MLB Picks

The Giants head to the Rockies for our MLB picks this Thursday. What's the best play?

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, June 15, 2017 3:01 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond is a daily MLB picks column that scours the pitching matchups, historical trends and odds to deliver two premium plays each day. Let’s see what Thursday’s card has in store for us.

Nationals (39-26, -0.4 units) vs. Mets (30-34, -11.9 units)
  • New York is 16-20 (-11.9 Units) in home games this season.

  • New York is 6-11 (-9.6 Units) in home games against division opponents this season.

  • New York is 6-13 (-8.0 units) when playing against a team with a winning record.

  • Washington is 27-10 (+13.5 Units) in night games this season.

  • Washington’s starter Gio Gonzalez is 12-5 when starting against the Mets with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.147.

  • Washington is 12-6 (+6.5 units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

The Nats are looking to improve upon their perfect 3-0 road record against the Mets this season and will turn to Gio Gonzalez, and his 12-5 career mark against the Mets, to get the job done. The line on this game is unusually low on the NL East leaders because the Nats have dropped five of their last six while the Mets have done the exact opposite, winning five of their last six. However, the 162-game grind that is the MLB season is a marathon and not a sprint which means the cream ultimately rises to the top. Let’s also not forget that the Mets lost second-baseman, Neil Walker, last night as he attempted to beat out a bunt and will have an MRI today. Take advantage of the small number on the Nats and cash a ticket.

MLB Pick: Nationals -111Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Giants (26-41, -16.9 units) vs. Rockies (42-26, +19.0 units)
  • Colorado is 20-11 (+11.0 Units) against division opponents this season.

  • Colorado is 24-17 (+9.6 Units) after a win this season.

  • Colorado is 6-1 (+5.9 Units) against the Giants this season.

  • San Francisco is 16-27 (-14.1 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • San Francisco’s starter Matt Moore’s team record is 6-19 (-13.9 Units) in night games over the last two seasons.

  • San Francisco is 12-23 (-10.5 Units) in road games this season.

There is so much working against the Giants in this matchup that even though the MLB odds are rendering the Rockies as fairly sizeable favorites, we can’t help but think the line should be even higher. Here we have one of the most potent lineups in the league versus the weakest. The Rockies are also 6-1 this season and if that’s not enough, even the day of the week is working against the traveling Giants as they are 1-5 (-4.8 units) on Thursday’s this season.

San Francisco’s Matt Moore has gotten roughed up over his past three outings with a 0-2 record and a 5.42 ERA while Colorado’s starter Jeff Hoffman has been spinning gems as evidenced by his 3-0 record to go along with a 1.33 ERA with a sterling 0.55 WHIP over his last 20 plus innings pitched. There’s not much more to say other than lay the lumber and back the Rockies in your MLB picks tonight!

Free MLB Pick: Rockies -143Best Line Offered: at BetPhoenix