Mining the Diamond: Brew Crew Ready to Rumble & Angels Heavenly in Tuesday’s MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, June 20, 2017 4:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 20, 2017 4:00 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond is a daily column that researches the pitching matchups, historical trends and odds for each game on the slate in order to deliver two premium MLB picks. Let’s see what Tuesday has to offer.

Pirates (32-38, -5.0 units) vs. Brewers (38-34, +10.6 units)
  • Milwaukee is 26-20 (+11.6 units) in night games this season.

  • Milwaukee is 30-25 (+10.5 units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Milwaukee is 19-15 (+7.4 units) after a loss this season.

  • Pittsburgh is 2-8 (-6.6 units) when playing on Tuesday this season.

  • Pittsburgh is 7-12 (-4.7 units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

  • Pittsburgh is 17-29 (-13.8 units) in night games this season.

We all know the Pirates are 3-1 versus the Brewers this season and handed them an 8-1 loss last night. However, Zach Davies had an impressive outing against the Bucs six weeks ago when he allowed two runs on four hits in what became a 6-2 setback. The bottom line here is that when Davies has taken the hill the Brewers have won nine of his last 11 starts while his counter-number, Chad Kuhl of Pittsburgh, has seen his team lose six of his last seven starts.

In addition, night games have been kind to Milwaukee as evidenced by the 11.6 units they have returned to their backers. Conversely, the Pirates have gone 17-29 with a 13.8 unit deficit to those who have bet them in evening affairs. Let’s back the home team in our MLB picks and watch the Brewers avenge last night’s defeat.

Free MLB Pick: Brewers -113Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Angels (36-37, -0.1 units) vs. Yankees (38-29, +5.0 units)
  • New York is 20-24 (-8.0 units) when playing with a day off over the last three seasons.

  • New York is 4-5 (-2.9 units) when playing on Tuesday this season.

  • New York is 14-14 (-2.4 units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

  • Los Angeles is 11-0 (-12.1 units) when playing on Tuesday this season.

  • Los Angeles is 29-25 (+3.7 units) in night games this season.

  • Los Angeles is 2-1 (+1.5 units) versus the Yankees this season.

This is a value play because the MLB odds makers are simply giving us too great a return on the Angels to ignore. The Yankees are in the midst of a shame spiral, dropping six straight while the Angels are a perfect 11-0 in Tuesday games this season and have taken two of three from the Bombers this season. Michael Pineda gets the start for New York and he got hammered his last time out when he surrendered five runs on 10 hits in a 7-5 loss to the very lineup he is facing tonight. Let’s not talk our way out of this because the price is way out of whack and we intend to take full advantage.

Free MLB Pick: Angels +237Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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