Mining the Diamond: Braves & Snakes Poised to Rain Money in Saturday's MLB Picks

Mining The Diamond July 29th

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, July 29, 2017 4:20 PM GMT

Saturday, Jul. 29, 2017 4:20 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond is a daily MLB picks column delivering two top selections each day based on pitching matchups, historical trends and the value rendered by the MLB odds. Let's discuss what Saturday's card offers us.

Braves (48-53, -5.2 Units) at Phillies (36-64, -29.8 Units)

* Philadelphia is 9-27 (-17.4 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

* Philadelphia is 18-43 (-21.2 Units) in night games this season.

* Philadelphia's starter Jerad Eickhoff's team record is 1-11 (-10.5 Units) in night games this season.

* Atlanta is 25-18 (+11.1 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

* Atlanta is 22-20 (+11.3 Units) when playing on Saturday over the last two seasons.

* Atlanta is 46-45 (+27.5 Units) in night road games over the last two seasons.

Don't let Philadelphia's latest offensive heroics fool you - they are still one lousy team. The Phillies combined for 19 runs over their past two games, including last night's 10-3 shellacking of the Braves in the series opener. However, they have one thing working against them and that is their starting pitcher's woeful trend in night games this season. Philadelphia has dropped 11 of 12 games when Jerad Eickhoff pitches at night in this season alone. In addition, Eickhoff's team record versus the Braves is 3-5 (-2.5 Units) over his career.

The Braves are a better team top to bottom than the Phillies so don't let Philadelphia's recent power surge fool you. Atlanta will prevail and Eickhoff's streak of evening misery will continue. Back the Braves in your MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Picks: Braves -104Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3140352, "sportsbooksIds":[238,19,1096,93,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Diamondbacks (59-44, +12.6 Units) at Cardinals (51-52, -8.5 units)

* St. Louis is 68-68 (-26.3 Units) in home games over the last two seasons.

* St. Louis is 29-37 (-24.3 Units) in home games after a win over the last two seasons.

* St. Louis is 2-7 (-5.8 Units) after shutting out their opponent this season.

* Arizona is 38-24 (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

* Arizona is 49-32 (+14.3 Units) against right-handed starters this season.

* Arizona's starter Zack Greinke's team record is 21-5 (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.

Here we have one of the premier pitchers in the game, Zack Greinke, going against Mike Leake of the Cardinals. Leake has some serious trends working against him here. Take a look:

Leake's team record is 36-50 (-25.0 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over his career.

Leake's team record is 7-17 (-15.8 Units) in home games over the last two seasons.

Leake's team record is 2-10 (-11.3 Units) at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.

Leake's team record is 6-14 (-12.9 Units) in home games in night games over the last two seasons.

Leake's team record is 2-8 (-9.8 Units) in home games after a win over the last two seasons.  

Leake's team record is 3-11 (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.

The MLB odds are quite tempting on the Snakes considering the trends in this contest. Let's back the small road chalk with Arizona over St. Louis.

Free MLB Picks: Diamondbacks -113Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3139189, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,169,139,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here