Mining the Diamond: Braves Bring Big Value While Cards Poised for Big Win

St. Louis Cardinals Mining The Diamond

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, September 12, 2017 4:08 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 12, 2017 4:08 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond did the splits in our MLB picks yesterday as we cashed with the Blue Jays but flamed the Brewers. Let’s seek a sweep as we review the pitching matchups, historical trends, and odds on Tuesday’s slate of games.

Braves (64-78, -1.7 Units) at Nationals (88-55, +11.5 Units)
  • Washington is 23-22 (-11.2 Units) in home games after a win this season.
  • Washington is 42-28 (-3.3 Units) in home games this season.
  • Washington’s starter Gio Gonzalez’s team record is 23-26 (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last three seasons.
  • Atlanta is 68-82 (+23.4 Units) in road games over the last two seasons.
  • Atlanta is 21-15 (+10.6 Units) in September games over the last two seasons.
  • Atlanta is 13-11 (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.

The Braves have won four of their last five and it’s no wonder, seeing as the summer has given way to a looming September fall. Atlanta has turned it up a notch in the month of September over the past two seasons, which translates into north of a .500 record for a team that has not had a winning season since 2013.  Julio Teheran, Atlanta’s starter for this matchup, has pitched well recently with a 3-0 record, a 2.84 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over his last three. Of course he will be opposed by one of Washington’s premier talents in Gio Gonzalez. However, Gonzalez’s team record is 6-13 (-10.8 Units) when starting against the Braves with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.50 while Teheran owns a 5-4 career mark against the Nationals.

Lastly, Atlanta is 4-3 (+4.4 Units) in the seven games played at Nationals Park this season and the MLB odds are simply too tempting to turn down this live road dog. Back the Braves in your MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick: Braves +160Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3140774, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,93,1275,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 

Reds (62-82, -9.1 Units) at Cardinals (75-68, -4.5 Units)
  • St. Louis is 45-32 (+5.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
  • St. Louis is 8-2 (+5.9 Units) in September games this season.
  • St. Louis’ starter Lance Lynn’s team record is 12-5 (+6.3 Units) when starting against the Reds with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.12.
  • Cincinnati is 26-45 (-8.8 Units) in road games this season.
  • Cincinnati is 28-33 (-2.9 Units) after a win this season.
  • Cincinnati is 2-10 (-5.9 Units) as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.

St. Louis is entering this series after a sweep of the Pirates and having won seven of their last eight. The Reds will enter Busch Stadium having lost three of their last four and are 9-16 versus the Cardinals in games played at St. Louis over the last three seasons.

Starting St. Louis pitcher Lance Lynn is in a serious groove boasting a 1.29 ERA over his last three starts but poor run production by his offense has prevented him from winning any of those three. We say St. Louis keeps the mojo going with a big win over their NL central rivals and just two games back of the division leading Cubs.

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals -157Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3140573, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,1275,123,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here