Mining the Diamond: Boston Breaks Free from its Funk While Rockets Launch in Wednesday’s MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, July 26, 2017 2:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 26, 2017 2:09 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond is a daily MLB picks column that focuses on pitching matchups, historical trends and the value found on the odds board. Let’s analyze two of our top plays on Wednesday’s card.

Red Sox (55-47, -4.9 Units) at Mariners (51-51, -1.8 Units)
  • Seattle is 61-80 (-24.5 Units) against left-handed starters over the last three seasons.
  • Seattle is 49-59 (-26.7 Units) in home games after a win over the last three seasons.
  • Seattle is 72-84 (-20.0 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.
  • Boston is 29-18 (+6.3 Units) after a loss this season.
  • Boston’s starter Chris Sale is 4-1 when starting against the Mariners with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 0.79.

The Red Sox are struggling and dropped the second consecutive game of this three-game set against the Mariners last night by the score of 6-5 in extra innings. But that only means that while the hitters were working overtime, Boston’s perennial All-Star pitcher Chris Sale was kicking back and relaxing. Sale has been throwing bullets all season long and brings a 1.74 ERA complemented by a 0.87 WHIP over his last three starts into this game.

Conversely, Seattle’s starter Andrew Moore has been raked over his last three starts as evidenced by his 7.80 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. As stated above, Sale is 4-1 against Seattle over his career and should cruise to an easy win in this one. Back the BoSox in your MLB picks tonight and just remember - there is no juice when your team wins.

Free MLB Picks: Red Sox -205Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3139774, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,139,123,180], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Astros (67-33, +21.7 Units) at Phillies (34-64, -21.8 Units)
  • Philadelphia is 16-43 (-23.3 Units) in night games this season.
  • Philadelphia is 23-49 (-21.7 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
  • Philadelphia is 19-45 (-20.4 Units) after a loss this season.
  • Houston is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) in inter-league games this season.
  • Houston is 52-20 (+25.9 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
  • Houston is 23-7 (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

The Houston Astros are arguably the best team in baseball this season and it’s no wonder they have defeated arguably the worst team this season by a combined score of 18-4 in the first two games of this three-game series. The MLB odds are head-scratchingly low on the road favorite, despite the recent string of success enjoyed by Philadelphia’s starter Aaron Nola, as our power rating has assigned Houston as a -180 favorite with Michael Fiers on the hill for the Astros today.

Speaking of Fiers, he brings a 2-1 mark along with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP into this contest over his last three starts. This is a game between the haves and the have-nots and we are backing the team with a bevy of offensive firepower (ranked 1st in runs scored) over an anemic Phillies offense that ranks 29th of 30 MLB teams. Lay the small price for an easy payoff.

Free MLB Picks: Astros -120Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3141251, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,93,180,274], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here