Mining the Diamond: Bombers & Cubbies Twin Killers in Tuesday’s MLB Picks

mining diamond

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, August 8, 2017 3:21 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 8, 2017 3:21 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond is back to analyze Tuesday’s slate as we deliver two top MLB picks. Below we discuss the pitching matchups, historical trends and of course the value rendered by the MLB odds.

Cubs (59-52, -17.0 Units) at Giants (44-70, -30.3 Units)
  • San Francisco is 45-54 (-19.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.
  • San Francisco is 25-32 (-11.8 Units) in home games this season.
  • San Francisco is 29-44 (-16.7 Units) in night games this season.
  • Chicago is 12-4 (+4.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
  • Chicago is 19-8 (+7.7 Units) as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
  • Chicago is 19-7 (+10.6 Units) against left-handed starters this season.

The MLB odds on the visiting Cubs would be even higher had Chicago’s newest addition to the rotation not gotten shelled in his last outing. Although we won’t completely dismiss Jose Quintana’s five innings of six-run, six-hit ball, there are mitigating factors. He did pitch in two rain delays in the 10-8 loss to the Diamondbacks, which completely unravels any rhythm necessary for a successful start. The veteran southpaw had been performing well up to that point with a 2.59 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP and a 10.7 K/9.

In addition, here are some other trends you may want to consider regarding Quintana:

  • Quintana’s team record is 11-4 (+10.7 Units) in road games when playing on Tuesday since over his career.
  • Quintana’s team record is 33-24 (+15.5 Units) in night road games over his career.
  • Quintana’s team record is 9-0 (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

The Cubbies delivered a 5-3 victory for their fans and backers Monday night in the opener of this three-game set with the lowly Giants. Chicago has now won four of five vs. San Francisco this season, and Quintana should bounce back nicely in this spot as he has been a downright bully against weak teams as evidenced by his team’s 9-0 record this season against clubs with a losing record. Make sure to include Chicago in your MLB picks tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -173Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Yankees (59-51, -6.2 Units) at Blue Jays (52-59, -17.1 Units)
  • Toronto is 20-26 (-11.0 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
  • Toronto is 3-10 (-10.6 Units) when playing with a day off this season.
  • Toronto is 29-40 (-18.7 Units) in night games this season.
  • New York is 22-13 (+4.3 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
  • New York is 26-18 (+7.0 Units) against division opponents this season.
  • New York’s starter C.C. Sabathia is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against division opponents this season.

The Yankees notched two consecutive wins over the AL Central-leading Indians before their day off Monday, while the Jays dropped two of three against the Astros. These teams have split the season series thus far, with each team standing at 5-5 against each other. However, the starting pitchers here give us a nice lean on the road dogs here. Let’s take a look:

  • CC Sabathia’s team record is 9-1 (+8.9 Units) line against division opponents this season.
  • CC Sabathia’s team record is 21-9 (+12.6 Units) in night games over the last two seasons.
  • CC Sabathia’s team record is 13-5 (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
  • CC Sabathia’s team record is 8-1 (+7.5 Units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
  • J. A. Happ’s team record is 1-7 (-9.0 Units) in night games this season.

In addition, Sabathia is 6-2 with a 2.29 ERA on the road this season, while Happ clocks in with a 1-5 mark and a 4.25 ERA at home. Let’s grab the juice on what we feel is a strong value play here.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees +117Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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