Mining the Diamond: Big Value on Snakes While Mad Max Gets the Money in Friday’s MLB Picks

Nationals pitcher Max Scherzer

Friday, June 16, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

Mining the Diamond saw its two MLB picks cash yesterday as the Nationals and Rockies both connected. Let’s peruse the pitching matchups, historical trends and MLB odds to notch two more winners on Friday night.

Diamondbacks (41-26, +15.1 units) vs. Phillies (22-43, -16.5 units)
  • Philadelphia is 3-15 (12.2 units) when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

  • Philadelphia is 2-7 (-5.4 units) when playing on Friday this season.

  • Philadelphia is 12-20 (-3.3 units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

  • Arizona is 32-15 (+16.2 units) in night games this season.

  • Arizona is 31-18 (+12.6 units) against right-handed starters this season.

  • Arizona is 25-13 (+10.4 units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Here we have one of the top teams in the majors playing against the weakest. Yet, the odds appear to be particularly friendly to those who want to include the Snakes in their MLB picks. Smells a bit fishy, right? I will grant you that these situations always give seasoned cappers cause for pause but the numbers tell the tale and though our crystal ball can be a bit murky at times, we rely on historical trends and pitching matchups as well as the value being offered by the oddsmakers and Arizona is currently being dealt with a number that is simply too good to resist.

The Diamondbacks starter tonight Pat Corbin has had his struggles recently but appears as though he is shaking off his funk, as evidenced in his last start when he allowed three runs through five-plus innings in a 15-3 Arizona victory over the Padres. Philadelphia’s starter Aaron Nola allowed the same in his last outing that lasted five innings, resulting in a 6-5 loss to the Cardinals. However, the D-Backs have the fifth-ranked offense versus the 27th ranked offense for the Phillies. The Snakes have won seven of their last eight while the Phillies snapped an eight-game losing streak with a 1-0 win over Boston last night. The choice is clear – back the road dog at what can only be regarded as a steal.

 

Free MLB Pick: Diamondbacks +121Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3141191, "sportsbooksIds":[93,43,1096,1389,139], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/] 

  Nationals (40-26, +0.6 units) vs. Mets (30-35, -12.9 units)
  • New York is 16-21 (-12.9 Units) in home games this season.

  • New York is 6-12 (-10.6 Units) in home games against division opponents this season.

  • New York is 26-32 (-19.7 Units) in home games after a loss over the last two seasons.

  • Washington is 16-6 (+10.5 Units) in road games after a win this season.

  • Washington’s starter Max Scherzer’s team record 22-4 (+14.7 Units) in road games after a win over the last three seasons.

  • Washington is 28-10 (+14.5 Units) in night games this season.

After winning four straight the Mets have dropped two of their last three including last night’s 8-3 loss to the Nats in the series opener. Now Washington has its ace on the hill and Mad Max has been in vintage form recently with a 2-1 record and a 1.16 ERA and a stunning 0.60 WHIP over his last three outings. The Nats are 4-0 at Citi Field this season and we see that streak continuing. Back the road chalks in this one and bet the Nationals.

 

Free MLB Pick: Nationals -138Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3140130, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1275,300,19,43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]