Mining the Diamond: Big Blue and Brew Crew are Definitely Due in Tuesday’s MLB Picks

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, August 1, 2017 2:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2017 2:38 PM UTC

Mining the Diamond locks onto Tuesday’s baseball betting slate with a view towards cashing our two top MLB picks. Let’s analyze this twin bookie killer and grab the money.

Dodgers (74-31, +27.3 Units) at Braves (48-56, +2.7 Units)
  • Atlanta is 5-9 (-3.4 Units) when playing on Tuesday this season.
  • Atlanta is 1-6 (-4.4 Units) as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
  • Atlanta is 23-40 (-9.8 Units) in August games over the last three seasons.
  • Los Angeles is 52-21 (+20.5 Units) after a win this season.
  • Los Angeles is 29-8 (+16.0 Units) after three or more consecutive wins this season.
  • Los Angeles is 36-11 (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Dodgers’ starting pitcher Kenta Maeda is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.26 in his only appearance against the Braves. Maeda also brings a 3-0 record with a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts into this one while Atlanta will be trotting out a rookie starter in Lucas Sims who will make his major league debut and walked over 15 percent of all batters he faced en route to a 2-6 record and a 7.56 ERA last season in Triple-A ball. The Dodgers have won eight straight while the Braves have dropped their last five. LA has a whopping 26 more wins than their opponents tonight as the teams head into the month of August.

Do we really need to continue? Back Big Blue in your MLB picks tonight and lay the lumber.

Free MLB Picks: Dodgers -170Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Cardinals (52-53, -8.5 Units) at Brewers (55-52, +11.2 Units)
  • Milwaukee is 36-30 (+12.8 Units) in night games this season.
  • Milwaukee’s starter Carlos Martinez’s team record is 7-3 (+2.7 Units) when starting against the Brewers with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.16.
  • Milwaukee is 27-25 (-5.9 Units) after a loss this season.
  • St. Louis is 4-11 (-9.3 Units) when playing with a day off this season.
  • St. Louis is 17-25 (-13.6 Units) against division opponents this season.
  • St. Louis is 24-27 (-7.6 Units) after a win this season.

Both teams got a day off yesterday before kicking off this three-game set in Milwaukee. However, while the Brewers are a mediocre 5-5 (+1.0 Unit) when getting a day to rest the Cardinals are a woeful 4-11 (-9.3 Units), which bodes well for the home chalk tonight. But the trend that sticks out points to St. Louis’s starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson and his fruitless outings against the Brewers. Nelson is a stunning 0-7 when starting against the Brewers with an ERA of 6.71 and a WHIP of 1.66. Milwaukee’s Martinez has been impressive against the Redbirds with a 7-3 team mark and a 2.19 ERA.

Let’s ride the trends here and lay the palatable price that the MLB odds makers are offering on Milwaukee.

Free MLB Picks: Brewers -114Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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