Mining the Diamond: Astros Launch in Game 1 of the ALDS

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, October 5, 2017 3:06 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 5, 2017 3:06 PM UTC

The opening game of the ALDS series between the Astros and Red Sox begins this afternoon and after perusing the MLB odds, as well as the matchup in this duel between the teams’ aces, we see an opportunity to cash.

Red Sox (93-69, +4.7 Units) at Astros (101-61, +1.19 Units)

  • Houston is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against the Red Sox this season.
  • Houston is 32-16 (+9.9 Units) in day games this season.
  • Houston is 32-21 (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record.
  • Boston is 7-11 (-8.2 Units) when playing on Thursday this season.
  • Boston is 0-10 (-10.8 Units) in October games over the last three seasons.
  • Boston’s starter Chris Sale’s team record is 3-9 (-11.5 Units) when playing on Thursday over the last two seasons.

These two teams tangled in their last series of the season with Houston taking three of four in Boston. Now the venue has changed but the teams remain the same. Chris Sale will be on the hill for the BoSox but he is not the invincible ace that he had been until roughly September. On September 20th Sale hurled a beauty against the Orioles when he cruised through eight innings of four hit ball en route to Boston’s 9-0 victory. However, that start was wedged between two clunkers when he was tagged for four runs through five plus innings in what resulted in a 13-6 win over Tampa Bay and was slammed by the long ball in his last start when he surrendered four home runs and allowed five earned runs in his club’s 9-4 loss to the Blue Jays. Those starts have manifested into a 1-1 record and a 4.34 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP over his last three. Certainly not the stuff of legends.

On the flipside, the Astros will trot out their own All-Star when they send Justin Verlander to the hill. Since acquiring JV from the Tigers in early September, Verlander has had a career renaissance with his new club, garnering wins in all five starts with a sparkling 1.06 ERA. In addition, his club is hitting at the right time as evidenced by winning six of their last seven and averaging almost 8 ½ runs per contest over those last seven games. There is simply too much talent on both sides of the Houston roster for the AL East titlists to contend with and the MLB odds reflect as much with the money pouring in on the home team as the line opened at Houston -113 and it is now as high as -135 in some shops. Include the Houston Astros in your MLB picks in this series opener before the line climbs even higher!

Free MLB Pick: Astros -129
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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