Mets vs. Red Sox Prediction & Player Props: Expert Picks for May 20

Last Updated: May 20, 2025 9:18 AM EDT β’ 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

The New York Mets will meet the Boston Red Sox tonight, with first pitch from Fenway Park in Boston set for 6:45 p.m. ET (TBS). Our Mets vs. Red Sox prediction and player props - part of our MLB picks - highlight our best bets ahead of the star-studded showdown in Beantown.
Read on for our favorite plus-money bonus bet on Rafael Devers at the end of the article.
π° Best Mets vs. Red Sox predictions & player props
π Our NEW MLB player prop odds tool can help you find the best MLB odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
β Under 9.5 (-135 via ESPN BET) βββββ Clay Holmes Under 5.5 strikeouts (-147 via Caesars) ββββ
π₯ Under 9.5 βββββ
There's only one question bettors need to ask themselves before deciding how to bet each game: Are the Mets involved? If the answer is yes, all of your eggs should go into the "Under" basket.
New York's games have leaned Under at a 62.20% clip (28-17-3) this season. The Mets have managed to combine with their opponents for fewer than 9.5 runs in 80% of their last 10 outings.
Clay Holmes (3.14 ERA) takes the bump tonight, so we feel confident in picking Under 9.5 at juiced odds with our best sports betting apps.
β Best bet: -135 via ESPN BET (bet $10 to win $7.41 profit)
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βΎοΈ Clay Holmes Under 5.5 strikeouts ββββ
Holmes has transitioned into a starting role seamlessly, just as the Mets had hoped the former Yankees reliever would when they signed him in the offseason. He's posted three quality starts in his last five outings, but a high strikeout total has been missing.
The 32-year-old has been shakier recently while surrendering eight runs in three starts, including his first three home runs of the season. His strikeout numbers have also dipped, as he's failed to reach six over the last month.
We'll bet on this trend to continue against a Red Sox team that's been striking out at a lower rate recently.
β
Best bet: -147 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $6.80 profit)
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π Bonus bet: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 hits ββ
Devers has been subject to a lot of scrutiny early this season, but he's been channeling his inner Nigel Farage recently. The Red Sox slugger is now hitting .286 and is among the league leaders in RBIs. He's tallied five multi-hit games over his past 10 outings, including three in the last five.
While Devers' career numbers against Holmes don't jump off the page (1-for-5 in six plate appearances), the Mets starter hasn't struck the Dominican out in those duels, so there's some reason for hope. This play is worth a flyer considering how consistent Devers has been at the dish recently.
β
Best bet: +240 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $24 profit)
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π΅ Best MLB betting sites
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