Mets vs. Cubs MLB Picks: Is it Safe Backing Syndergaard in Major League Debut?

David Lawrence

Tuesday, May 12, 2015 1:37 PM GMT

Mets & MLB betting cappers are eagerly anticipating tonight’s game against the Cubs There’s going to be a lot of publicity & buzz for this game. How will a 22-year-old handle the moment for the Mets?

The New York Mets Can Win Because…
They are confident that Noah Syndergaard can be a special pitcher right from the get-go this season. The Mets had Snydergaard, a top prospect, pitch 29 2/3 innings in the minor leagues at Las Vegas. They wanted him to get some work in before calling him up to the parent club. By giving him the call now, they are showing that they believe he’s ready to step up. Syndergaard had a 1.82 ERA in that minor-league stint at the start of the season, so he’s been very effective. Now, he’s coming up against the Chicago Cubs.

This is a team that has been struggling of late. The Cubs’ worst feature over the past week and a half is that they’ve lost two separate series to the Milwaukee Brewers, the worst team in the National League. The Cubs’ bats have been contained by Milwaukee’s pitching, so if that’s the case, the idea that Chicago would be handcuffed by a minor-leaguer making his first big-league start is hardly preposterous. In fact, since Syndergaard is a pitcher the Cubs’ hitters have never seen, there’s a very decent chance that Syndergaard will breeze through the Cubs the first time he goes through the batting order. What will be important in this game is the second time Syndergaard gets through the order, in the fourth and fifth innings. If he can succeed in that portion of the game, he should be able to put together a quality start and give the Mets an excellent chance of winning.

 

The Chicago Cubs Can Win Because…
The reality of a young 22-year-old pitching in his first major-league game at Wrigley Field is a hard thing to digest. Syndergaard might be a great pitcher, but even he will probably need some time to adjust to the challenges of big-league hitting. He will also find it hard to maintain an even keel in this game. The adrenaline will be flying through his veins. It’s going to be a difficult game-management situation for Syndergaard, and the Cubs – if they’re patient at the plate and don’t chase a lot of pitches out of the strike zone – should be able to wait out the Mets’ pitcher and get some good swings in.

The Cubs also have starting pitcher Jake Arrieta on the hill. Arrieta hasn’t been dominant this season, but a 3.41 ERA is decent. It needs improvement, but it should shrink as the sample size of Arrieta’s innings decreases. Moreover, Arrieta had an 0.77 ERA last season against the Mets, limiting them to one run in 11 2/3 innings of work. If Arrieta is similarly successful here, the Cubs should certainly win as MLB betting odds suggests by makeing them the favorite team to win here.

 

Outlook
Both Syndergaard’s youth and Arrieta’s success against the Mets point to a Cub victory. And you don’t have to lay a ton with Arrieta as he’s opened up as a -137 favorite at The Greek. The line will probably climb but if you can get in early enough, take Chicago with your MLB picks here.

MLB Pick: Cubs -139 at The Greek