Mets vs. Braves MLB Preview and Best Bet

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Mets vs. Braves MLB Preview and Best Bet
Dominic Smith #2, Khalil Lee #26 and Johneshwy Fargas #81 of the New York Mets react. Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP

After a brief weekend blip in Tampa Bay, the New York Mets are back to being the hottest team in the National League East. The Mets entered the weekend series with the Rays on a seven game winning streak, only to get swept out of town in three by Tampa. Now, New York is in Atlanta for four games with the third-place Braves. The Mets have already clinched at worst a split in the series, winning the first two over Atlanta. New York hopes to wrap up the series win tonight.The Braves, meanwhile, have lost three straight and six of eight to fall four games back in the East, matching their season low for distance from the top spot. Let’s check out the MLB odds at the best betting sites for this game.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Wednesday, May 19, 2021 – 07:20 PM EDT at Truist Park

Scary Moment

The Mets will be short-handed after Kevin Pillar was hit in the face by a 94 mph fastball in the first game of the Braves series. The scary moment resulted in multiple nasal fractures and a trip to the injured list for Pillar. He becomes the twelfth Met sidelined by injury.

That list of injured Mets includes Jeff McNeil, Michael Conforto, J.D. Davis and Brandon Nimmo, which has had a significant impact on the Mets’ offense. The Mets have not topped five runs in the last five games and 10 of the last 11, winning two games in Atlanta despite not scoring more than four in either. The Mets acquired Cameron Maybin in a deal with the Cubs to try to shore up the depleted roster.

The bullpen, which struggled in Tampa, is back to form, which has helped New York pull out some tight wins over the Braves. The pen was charged with 14 earned runs on 20 hits and seven walks in 10.1 innings over the weekend, but they’ve allowed just four runs and 11 baserunners in 14 innings in the two wins in Atlanta.

The Mets will start lefthander David Peterson on Wednesday. He is 1-3, 4.86 but had a strong outing against Tampa the last time out, going 7.1 innings and allowing just two runs while fanning nine. He’s struck out 41 in just over 33 innings this season.

Looking for a Break

The Braves have not been over .500 yet this season, and, despite entering the series holding out hopes of changing that this week, it won’t come against the Mets.

“We haven't gotten on a roll yet,” said closer Will Smith, whose struggles this season continued against the Mets. “We're too good not to get on a roll.”

Smith took the loss on Monday in the ninth inning, giving up a home run. He’s allowed five earned runs and nine hits in the last three innings, spanning four appearances. For the year, he’s 0-4 with a 4.76 ERA.

If the Braves make a run, it will likely be sparked by their offense. Atlanta has a National League high 62 home runs this season, led by Freddie Freeman, who has 12, and Ronald Acuna Jr., who also has a dozen. Over the last 10 games, the Braves have hit just .211, however.The Braves will start righthander Charlie Morton on Wednesday. Morton was expected to be one of the top options on the Braves staff, but he’s just 2-2, 5.08 so far this year and hasn’t gotten past the fifth inning in either of his last two starts. Morton has struggled to get his cutter to perform consistently this year and has paid the price.

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The Pick

Morton gives the Braves their best bet of winning in the four-game series, but he’s not the Charlie Morton of the last few seasons. If he can get his cutter to stay under control, Morton could feast on the depleted Mets lineup. Our prediction for our MLB picks is that won’t happen on Wednesday. Look for the Mets to continue their newfound dominance of the Braves with a third straight win.

MLB pick: Mets (+166) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Mets ML (+166)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.