Mets Turn To Gsellman To Even Up Series Against Marlins

Robert Gsellman

Jay Pryce

Saturday, April 8, 2017 5:28 PM GMT

Mets skipper Terry Collins is already knitting together a patchwork rotation due to injuries. On Saturday, he sends out Robert Gsellman. The 23-year-old right-hander faces off with Adam Conley and the Marlins. Pick and preview inside.

Miami Marlins (2-2)

The Marlins blasted the Mets on Friday 7-2 behind Wei-Yen Chen. Skipper Don Mattingly hopes another southpaw can dazzle on Saturday when he sends Adam Conley to the hill. Recent history suggests Miami may put in a solid encore performance. The club has won six of their last eight at Citi Field after taking game one of a series.

Conley is 1-0 in four career starts against New York. He owns a 1.11 ERA, and his 0.86 WHIP is the lowest versus any team with five or more innings of work. The left-hander has held the Mets’ big sticks in check. Yoenis Cespedes and Curtis Granderson are 2-for-19 combined. Conley has yet to gift a home run to any Met in 66 plate appearances.

The Marlins are 7-5 SU in Conley’s 12 career starts as a road underdog. Bettors collect a return of 43 percent profit at +135 average MLB odds. He and the pen allow 4.17 runs per game in this situation.

Miami enters with the second most hits in MLB. It is averaging 10 per game, though most are singles. The lineups 20 percent hits for extra bases percentage ranks last in the league.

 

New York Mets (2-2)

The Mets have left a lot of runs on the diamond to start the season. They cross the plate 3.75 times per game, but are leaving 2.5 runners in scoring position per night, fifth most in MLB. The stranded are largely caused by strikeouts. New York whiffs seven times per game, third most in the bigs.

Manager Terry Collins’ men may need to be more efficient behind second-year pro-Robert Gsellman. The right-hander has been thrust into the rotation as a stopgap with Steven Matz and Seth Lugo sidelined with injuries. Gsellman went 4-2 with a 2.42 ERA in 2016. He’s armed with a heavy sinker and throws a 95 mph fastball. In spring training, the hard-throwing righty gave up six earned runs on 20 hits in 23.1 innings.

New York is 11-5 SU in the last calendar year as home chalk against left-handed starters. Knocking in 4.44 runs per game, the team has returned 17 percent to backers at -148 average odds. One of these victories was a 2-1 win over Conley last April.

 

Final Analysis

Gsellman has superb stuff and the Mets front office projects him to be a high-end starter later in his career. He’s never faced the Marlins in the regular season, so the scouting report is slim. He tossed five innings against in spring training, allowing just two hits while striking out three. The edge goes to the Mets in this matchup. New York -121 is the play.

Free MLB pick: Mets -121Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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