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Max Scherzer of the New York Mets pitches against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the first inning.
Max Scherzer of the New York Mets pitches against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the first inning. Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images/AFP.

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves are deadlocked during their chase for the NL East title. Let's examine the matchup with our Mets-Braves picks.

After the Braves' 5-2 win on Friday night, New York and Atlanta are tied for first in the NL East with less than a week remaining in the regular season. It'll be a pitcher’s duel again on Saturday, as Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Mets along with Kyle Wright for the Braves.

Here are my MLB picks and predictions for Saturday night’s Mets-Braves game (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook BetMGM and DraftKings Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5 scale).

Mets vs. Braves Game Info

Date/Time: Saturday, Oct. 1, 7:20 p.m. ET
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Weather: 71 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 15-mph wind

Mets vs. Braves Odds

Mets vs. Braves Odds Analysis 

The Mets are the Moneyline favorites at most sportsbooks, ranging from –115 at BetMGM to -120 at FanDuel. However, they’re the underdogs through DraftKings at +140.

All the top-rated sportsbooks have set the total at 7. Currently, 68% of cash has come in on the Mets, but 61% of tickets have been in favor of the Braves. 

Mets vs. Braves Projected Pitchers

Max Scherzer (11-4, 2.13 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs. Kyle Wright (20-5, 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP)

Max Scherzer is part of the two-headed monster alongside deGrom on the Mets' starting pitching staff. He continues to be one of the league's top hurlers. Scherzer has allowed just one run over his last two starts. He's 3-0 against the Braves in 2022, with their lineup batting .210 against him with 78 strikeouts. 

Meanwhile, Wright leads the league in wins (20). He's produced a 171:52 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and the Braves are 14-1 over his last 15 starts.

Mets vs. Braves Picks

Check out the latest comprehensive and most trusted Sportsbook Reviews by SBR.

Mets vs. Braves ML Pick

Braves (+102) ★★

The Braves aren't often underdogs in what’s expected to be a low-scoring pitcher’s duel, and I’ll give their lineup the edge. They hold home-field advantage, which should make a bit of a difference. The club boasts the best home record in the NL East, and the Braves are 73-32 during night games.

Scherzer has given up 11 home runs in 2022, and the Braves are second in MLB while averaging 1.5 dingers per game. Though Scherzer’s numbers have been very good against the Braves in 2022, Wright being on the mound at home and the Braves' power is enough to take the underdog in this contest.

Mets vs. Braves O/U Pick

Under 7 (+100) ★★★

The starting pitching will beat two great offenses.

The Braves have struck out 78 times against Scherzer in 2022, and the Under has hit 11 times over Atlanta's last 16 games. Factor in Wright’s quality strikeout-to-walk ratio and 3.18 ERA, and the Under is well-positioned to cash.

Mets vs. Braves Prop Pick

Max Scherzer Over 2.5 earned runs (+125) ★★

Atlanta excels at hitting the long ball, so I could see Scherzer easily allowing two runs and then a solo shot for the Over to hit.

Where to Bet on Mets-Braves Picks

FanDuel Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook
PointsBet
BetMGM

SEE ALSO: All picksodds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Mets-Braves picks made 10/1/2022 at 12:23 p.m. ET.